The Mountain West Conference had a 4-team logjam for its two available spots and the championship game. The Boise State Broncos, New Mexico Lobos, San Diego State Aztecs, and UNLV Rebels all had 6-2 conference records.
Following the use of numeric formulas, the league determined that the UNLV Rebels would visit the Boise State Broncos. Previously this season, Boise State routed UNLV at Albertsons Stadium.
Friday night’s matchup will be historic in how it was formed. No conference title game has ever had to use computer metrics to eliminate two of the four teams that were tied in the standings.
Bosie State has a powerful brand in the casual sector when playing on its famed blue turf. Thus, casual money will flow to the Broncos.
Wise Guys will look hard at UNLV, which finished much stronger down the stretch than Boise State.
Certainly, there will be massive betting interest in this Friday night championship game with two appealing brands.
Get the latest Mountain West Championship Game news, check out the current betting lines for the games, and don’t miss the football action, all with the best odds at BookMaker!
Mountain West Championship Game Odds at Bookmaker
Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID, hosts the UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos matchup on Friday, December 5, 2025. Kickoff time is at 8 p.m. ET with television coverage on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened with Boise State as a 3.5-point home favorite and UNLV as a 3.5-point dog.
Boise State is a -176 moneyline favorite with UNLV as a +146 moneyline dog.
UNLV and Boise State opened with a total of 57.5.
UNLV Rebels
Last game, the UNLV Rebels won 42-17 against the Nevada Wolf Pack as 7.5-point road favorites. The game went over the total of 52.
UNLV is 10-2 straight up, 7-5 against the spread, and 6-6 over/under the total.
UNLV ranks 14th for total offense, 34th for passing, 16th for rushing, 12th for scoring, and 61st for fewest turnovers committed.
UNLV ranks 120th for total defense, 114th vs. the pass, 107th vs. the rush, 94th for fewest points allowed, and 24th for takeaways.
UNLV has covered three out of its most recent four games. UNLV went under the total in three of its last four matchups.
Boise State Broncos
Last game, the Boise State Broncos won 25-24 against the Utah State Aggies as 2.5-point road favorites. The game went under the total of 54,.5.
Boise State is 8-4 straight up, 6-4-2 against the spread, and 6-6 over/under the total.
Overall, Boise State ranks 60th for total offense, 76th for passing, 48th for rushing, 66th for scoring, and 78th for fewest turnovers committed.
Boise State ranks 18th for total defense, 6th vs. the pass, 69th vs. the rush, 38th for fewest points allowed, and 14th for takeaways.
Boise State has covered one out of its most recent five games. Boise State went under the total in four of its last five matchups.
UNLV at Boise State Betting Trends
UNLV got the cash in 15 out of their last 18 away tilts. Four of the Rebels’ most recent seven away games went under the total.
The Broncos failed to cover only four of their last 18 home games. Boise State went over the total in five of its last six home tilts.
In the series between UNLV and Boise State, the Broncos have dominated with four consecutive payouts. Additionally, four of the last six meetings between the Rebels and Broncos went over the total.
Specifically at Boise State, UNLV got the money in two of its most recent three visits.
Two of those three games went over the total.
UNLV at Boise State Best Bets
Previously, on October 18, Boise State defeated UNLV 56-31 as 13-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 54.5.
On this occasion, UNLV’s defense, while not good, should be able to contain Boise State’s inconsistent offense.
The Rebels' prolific offense should be the difference in this revenge and championship matchup.
Main Pick: UNLV Rebels
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Anthony Colandrea Over the Passing Yards Total
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