Wise guys bounced back last week in the three games we tracked pulling off a pair of wins to get back in the plus column. When wagering over the course of a season you have to remember it’s a marathon and not a sprint. There are going to be landmines along the way, like we had in Week 4. But following sharp action on the college football betting lines and making smarter wagers will prove to be profitable in the end.
The fun thing about college football is that there are bunch of games to choose from when you’re ready to make a wager. Some work is required to sift through all the numbers, so why not let the wise guys do the work for you. There was sharp action backing San Jose State last Friday and a late touchdown allowed the Spartans to cover the closing line, getting the betting week started right. The good vibes continued on Saturday with a Notre Dame cover over Virginia in a clash of ranked teams. Sharps toyed with the Alabama line and it got too high allowing Ole Miss to cover, spoiling what would have been a perfect week.
Now that our account has been replenished after a profitable week, let’s charge ahead to Week 6 of the college football season and see what the wise guys are playing. And remember, BookMaker will have spreads and totals for every FBS contest. Visit BookMaker.eu when you’re ready to place your bet.
Week 6 Wise Guy Picks
Oklahoma at Kansas
This is a perplexing line that has me scratching my head. The Sooners opened -34 and within a few hours the spread spiked to -35.5. That’s right in line with everything since OU was getting most of the early action. Then we saw the number drop and it’s currently at OU -32, despite a majority of the money backing the Sooners. Lincoln Riley’s crew has been a wrecking ball in its first four games with over 600 total yards in each. Jalen Hurts is putting up Heisman-like numbers and the defense looks much better.
So how in the heck does the line drop against a team that was gouged for 51 points by TCU prompting Les Miles to say, “This is who we are?” I had to do some investigative research on this one and couldn’t find an answer as to why the line dropped. KU has shown some improvement under Miles, winning a pair of games already this season. However, the bar wasn’t set very high when he came on board. Everything points to sharps backing Kansas. Maybe the wise guys know something the rest of us don’t.
Auburn at Florida
We’ve seen sharp action influence the total in a number of games this season and we have another case of that for this marquee SEC tilt. High-profile matchups always attract a lot of attention and this one definitely qualifies. Both teams are a perfect 5-0 and ranked in the top-10, and both have strong defenses. The public pounded the under when the total hit the board at 46.5. And why not with Florida giving up less than 10 points per game and Auburn at just over 17.
Digging a bit deeper makes me wonder if the Gators are really that stingy or if they benefitted from a soft schedule. Shutting out lower-level Tennessee-Martin and Towson, and giving up a field goal to a bad Tennessee team skewed those defensive numbers. Auburn has one of the best run games in the country and Bo Nix has progressed in his development to give the Tigers a balanced attack the Gators haven’t seen this year. Wise guys bought the over when the total came out and the number has climbed two points.
Boise State at UNLV
Wise guys aren’t always right. Just keep that in mind when placing a wager. When you come across a line that makes you go “hmmm” it’s probably time to do your own research or move on to another game. Boise State has emerged as the top Group of Five team, which will make the target on their back even bigger. The Broncos opened -24 for Saturday’s Mountain West tilt with UNLV and that was reasonable enough to garner over 65 percent of the early action.
The Rebels have struggled this year with their only win over FCS Southern Utah. They were hammered by Wyoming last week and even Northwestern dropped 30 on them. They don’t appear to be much of a threat, yet the line came down to BSU -21. The Broncos are coming off a bye and UNLV is at home, but is that enough?
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