Three weeks ago, the Oklahoma Sooners were looking as good as dead when they were down 28-3 at the Baylor Bears. However, Baylor went from a team on the total attack to one that was out of ideas and in a shell the rest of the way. The Bears did cover the CFB Odds but Oklahoma escaped with a 34-31 straight up win to stay in the College Football Playoff Race. Baylor has never gotten over getting screwed by the College Football Playoff committee five years ago. And a win over Oklahoma on Saturday in the Big 12 Championship Game could re-open those wounds all over again.
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Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners Big 12 Championship Game
Date and Time: Saturday, December 7, 2019, Noon ET
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Baylor vs. Oklahoma College Football Betting odds at Bookmaker.eu: Baylor +8.5, Oklahoma -8.5
Baylor vs. Oklahoma TV Coverage: ABC
Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners Odds Analysis
Oklahoma is a blue blood marquee brand that commands plenty of attention and respect for the CFB odds. By contrast the Bears will get some shopping from bargain hunters and sharps looking for a potentially good deal and better than expected price.
Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners – Big 12 Championship Overview
Oklahoma enters this game with a record of 11-1 straight up but just 5-7 against the spread with 5-6-1 under the total. Last week the Sooners once again imposed their will in the Bedlam game at Oklahoma State for a 34-16 win and payout that was never in doubt. Oklahoma has national metrics of first for total offense, fifth for scoring offense, 27th for total defense, and 52nd for points allowed.
Baylor enters this one with a record of 11-1 straight up, 8-4 vs. the odds, and 6-6 on totals. The Bears ran the Jayhawks off their home field at Kansas in a resounding 61-6 win and payout. Baylor ranks 32nd for total offense, 15th for scoring offense, 39th for total defense and 13th for points allowed.
Key Bears: QB Charlie Brewer (2935 YDS, 65.5% COMP, 8.6 AVG, 20 TD, 6 INT, 27 SACKS, 153.4 RTG), RB John Lovett (97 ATT, 618 YDS, 6.4 AVG, 5 TD, 5 TD), WR Denzel Mims (61 REC, 945 YDS, 15.5 AVG, 11 TD), PK John Mayers (49-49 XP, 13-16 FG, 88 PTS), LB Terrel Bernard (95 TACKLES, 4.5 SACKS, 1 INT)
Key Sooners: QB Jalen Hurts (3347 YDS, 71.9% COMP, 11.7 AVG, 31 TD, 6 INT, 18 SACKS, 202.3 RTG, 196 RSH, 1217 YDS, 6.2 AVG, 18 TD), RB Kennedy Brooks (128 ATT, 917 YDS, 7.2 AVG, 4 TD), WR CeeDee Lamb (50 REC, 1035 YDS, 20.7 AVG, 14 TD), PK Gabe Brkic (45-45 XP, 14-14 FG, 87 PTS)
Baylor and Oklahoma vs. The Line
The Bears are:
6-3-1 against the spread in their last 10 away games
2-4 under the total on the road
9-3 on the board in their last 12 Big 12 Conference Games
3-9 under the total
The Sooners are:
3-8-1 against the spread in their last 12 away games
8-4 over the total on the road
1-4 vs. the odds head to head against Baylor
5-2 over the total vs. the Bears
3-8-1 on the board when playing Big 12 Conference teams
4-5 under the total in their last 12 Big 12 matchups
Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners College Football Free Pick
Oklahoma is a consistently poor value both away from home and against the Bears. Head coach Matt Rhule will have his Baylor program primed to finish the job this time.
Baylor vs. Oklahoma CFB Pick: Baylor Bears
Baylor Vs. Oklahoma CFB Score Prediction: Baylor 31, Oklahoma 30
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