Senate Elections Odds - Politics Picks at Bookmaker

BookMaker.eu is offering odds on most of the Senate elections. There has been action already from bettors on nearly every race and most of it has gone in direction of the Republicans. Let’s take a look at the latest Election odds at BookMaker and also look at how those odds compare to the odds put out by Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight and some of the latest numbers from Real Clear Politics.

Bet 2018 Election Odds at BookMaker.eu

Will the U.S. House and Senate be Controlled by the Same Party after the Election?

Yes +125

No -155

Party that will Control the Senate after November Elections

Democrats +450

Republicans -700

The latest numbers from Real Clear Politics have Republicans looking solid or “safe” to retain 50 seats in the Senate. There are six “tossup” races with Republicans leading three and Democrats leading three. FiveThirtyEight gives the Republicans an 82.4% chance of keeping control of the Senate. FiveThirtyEight is projecting the Republicans to end up with 52 seats, while the Democrats get 48. That would be a gain of one seat for Republicans.

Party that will Control the House after November Elections

Democrats -239

Republicans +187

The latest numbers from Real Clear Politics show that Democrats have 205 seats that are “safe”, 14 that are likely to go Democrat and 18 that “lean” Democrat. Republicans have 199 seats that are “safe”, 19 seats that are likely Republican and 26 that are leaning Republican. There are a total of 31 seats that are considered toss-ups. If those numbers are correct, Democrats would need to win just 13 of the 31 toss-up seats to get to the majority of 218 in the House. Silver’s numbers have Democrats with an 84% chance of winning control of the House. Those odds are vastly different than the current odds at BookMaker, as those odds have Democrats favored by just over 2-1 to win control of the House.

If you are looking to bet these props, the value is on the No at -155 for the Same Party to control both the Senate and the House. It is looking like Republicans will hang onto the Senate, while Democrats appear to have the edge in the House race. If things go as expected, the No at -155 would be a winner for the same party to control both the Senate and House. If you think that the Republicans can pull off a surprise and hang onto the House, the +187 is a far better bet than the Yes on the Same Party to retain control at +125.

Senate Races

Arizona

Kyrsten Sinema –D +107

Martha McSally –R -137

Florida

Bill Nelson –D -166

Rick Scott –R +130

Indiana

Joe Donnelly –D -110

Mike Braun –R -120

Missouri

Claire McCaskill –D +130

Josh Hawley –R -165

Montana

Jon Tester –D -260

Matt Rosendale –R +200

Nebraska

Deb Fischer –R -5000

Jane Raybould –D +1400

Nevada

Dean Heller –R -135

Jacky Rosen –D +105

New Jersey

Robert Menendez –D -500

Bog Hugin –R +350

North Dakota

Kevin Cramer –R -850

Heidi Heitkamp –D +550

Tennessee

Marsha Blackburn –R -450

Phil Bredesen –D +315

Texas

Ted Cruz –R -550

Beto O'Rourke –D +400

West Virginia

Joe Manchin III –D -500

Patrick Morrisey –R +350

Wisconsin

Tammy Baldwin –D -1829

Leah Vukmir –R +911

Looking at the Senate odds, there are some differences from the projections of FiveThirtyEight and the latest odds at BookMaker. It should be noted that pundits who projected the U.S. election two years ago, including FiveThirtyEight heavily favored Hillary Clinton. Could FiveThirtyEight be wrong in favoring so many Democrats again in 2018?

In almost every case, FiveThirtyEight lists the Democrats as bigger favorites than the current odds at BookMaker. For example, the BookMaker odds have Republican Martha McSally favored to win in Arizona, while FiveThirtyEight has Sinema as about a 2-1 favorite.

There is a major difference in the Indiana Senate odds, as BookMaker has the race a pick, while FiveThirtyEight has Donnelly as more than a 3-1 favorite. There is a difference in opinion in the odds on the Missouri race as well, with BookMaker listing Hawley the favorite, while FiveThirtyEight has McCaskill favored.

Do you agree with FiveThirtyEight in favoring the Democrats in the 2018 midterm election or do you believe Republicans have a chance to surprise like they did in 2016?

Check out the latest U.S. Election odds and make your wagers at BookMaker Sportsbook!

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