UFC on ESPN 4 Picks - Raquel Pennington vs. Irene Aldana

UFC on ESPN 4 Picks - Raquel Pennington vs. Irene Aldana

Irene Aldana is favored against Raquel Pennington at UFC on ESPN 4 on Saturday, July 20 in San Antonio, Texas. This event is one of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN. Pennington is 9-7 in her career, while Aldana is 10-4 in her career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN at UFC on ESPN 4, with the headliner a bout between Rafael dos Anjos and Leon Edwards. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN. Let’s look at the bout between Pennington and Aldana and UFC picks.

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Raquel Pennington (9-7, 6-4 UFC)

Pennington came into the UFC with a record of 3-3 and she has six wins and four losses in the UFC. She defeated Roxanne Modafferi by unanimous decision, Ashlee Evans-Smith by technical submission, Jéssica Andrade by rear-naked choke submission, Bethe Correia by split decision, Elizabeth Phillips by unanimous decision, and Miesha Tate by unanimous decision; while losing to Jéssica Andrade by split decision, Holly Holm by split decision, Amanda Nunes by TKO, and Germaine de Randamie by unanimous decision. Pennington has been a pro since 2012 and she has one win by TKO and three by submission. She has two first round finishes.

Irene Aldana (10-4, 3-2 UFC)

Aldana came into the UFC with a record of 7-2 and she has three wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Talita Bernardo by unanimous decision, Lucie Pudilová by split decision, and Bethe Correia by armbar submission; while losing to Leslie Smith by unanimous decision and Katlyn Chookagian by split decision. Aldana has been a pro since 2012 and she has five wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. She has seven first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Pennington 3.42 / Aldana 6.32
Striking Accuracy: Pennington 47% / Aldana 41%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Pennington 3.31/ Aldana 6.89
Defense: Pennington 62% / Aldana 60%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Pennington 1.16/ Aldana 0.41
Takedown Accuracy: Pennington 28% / Aldana 50%
Takedowns defended: Pennington 64% / Aldana 95%
Submission average: Pennington 0.9 / Aldana 0.2

UFC Picks

This is an interesting matchup between two fighters who seem to be at a crossroads. The winner of this fight could be on a path to a title shot, while the loser might just drift into anonymity. Pennington had her chance to win a title and couldn’t handle Amanda Nunes and it could be that Pennington is now on the way down, as she lost to de Randamie last time out. Aldana on the other hand, could be primed to move up into title contention. I am not thrilled about laying -160, but Aldana looks to be the clear choice in this fight. I will take Aldana and also take a small shot at the rounds going under at what should be plus money.

UFC on ESPN 4 takes place at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas on Saturday, July 20, with six fights on the main card on ESPN headlined by Rafael dos Anjos vs. Leon Edwards and seven preliminary bouts on ESPN.

Main Card (ESPN)

Welterweight - Leon Edwards -128 vs. Rafael dos Anjos
Heavyweight - Walt Harris -155 vs. Aleksei Oleinik
Heavyweight - Greg Hardy -115 vs. Juan Adams
Lightweight - Dan Hooker -155 vs. James Vick
Lightweight - Alexander Hernandez -185 vs. Francisco Trinaldo
Heavyweight - Ben Rothwell -190 vs. Andrei Arlovski

Preliminary Card (ESPN)

Featherweight - Alex Caceres - 160 vs. Steven Peterson
Women's Bantamweight - Irene Aldana -160 vs. Raquel Pennington
Light Heavyweight - Klidson Abreu -165 vs. Sam Alvey
Women's Flyweight - Jennifer Maia -136 vs. Roxanne Modafferi
Bantamweight - Ray Borg -250 vs. Gabriel Silva
Bantamweight - Jin Soo Son -230 vs. Mario Bautista
Bantamweight - Domingo Pilarte -302 vs. Felipe Colares

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