Walt Harris is slightly favored against Aleksei Oleinik at UFC on ESPN 4 on Saturday, July 20 in San Antonio, Texas. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN. Oleinik is 57-12-1 in his career, while Harris is 12-7 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN at UFC on ESPN 4, with the headliner a bout between Rafael dos Anjos and Leon Edwards. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN. Let’s look at the bout between Oleinik and Harris and UFC picks.
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Aleksei Oleinik (57-12-1, 6-3 UFC)
Oleinik came into the UFC with a record of 51-9-1 and he has six wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Anthony Hamilton by submission, Jared Rosholt by KO, Viktor Pešta by submission, Travis Browne by submission, Júnior Albini by submission, and Mark Hunt by submission; while losing to Daniel Omielanczuk by majority decision, Curtis Blaydes by TKO, and Alistair Overeem by TKO. Oleinik has been a pro since 1996 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and 47 by submission. He has 46 first round finishes.
Walt Harris (12-7, 5-6 UFC)
Harris came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and he has five wins and six losses in the UFC. He defeated Cody East by TKO, Chase Sherman by KO, Cyril Asker by TKO, Daniel Spitz by TKO, and Sergey Spivak by TKO; while losing to Jared Rosholt by unanimous decision, Nikita Krylov by TKO, Soa Palelei by TKO, Shamil Abdurakhimov by split decision, Fabrício Werdum by submission, and Mark Godbeer by DQ. Harris has been a pro since 2011 and he has 12 wins by TKO/KO. He has 10 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Oleinik 3.53 / Harris 2.92
Striking Accuracy: Oleinik 51% / Harris 37%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Oleinik 3.55/ Harris 2.67
Defense: Oleinik 49% / Harris 61%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Oleinik 2.70/ Harris 0.35
Takedown Accuracy: Oleinik 39% / Harris 33%
Takedowns defended: Oleinik 20% / Harris 76%
Submission average: Oleinik 2.4 / Harris 0.2
UFC Picks
The oddmakers have Harris as a slight favorite of -155, but it is hard to get excited about laying money on Harris against an experienced fighter in Oleinik who is excellent on the mat. I think there is some value in taking the plus price on Oleinik and I also think the rounds are worth playing. We know that Oleinik is going to be looking to get the fight to the mat and get a submission, while Harris will be looking for a knockout. This should result in a quick finish one way or another, so I will go under the rounds total.
UFC on ESPN 4 takes place at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas on Saturday, July 20, with six fights on the main card on ESPN, headlined by Rafael dos Anjos taking on Leon Edwards and seven preliminary bouts, also on ESPN.
Main Card (ESPN)
Welterweight - Leon Edwards -128 vs. Rafael dos Anjos
Heavyweight - Walt Harris -155 vs. Aleksei Oleinik
Heavyweight - Greg Hardy -115 vs. Juan Adams
Lightweight - Dan Hooker -155 vs. James Vick
Lightweight - Alexander Hernandez -185 vs. Francisco Trinaldo
Heavyweight - Ben Rothwell -190 vs. Andrei Arlovski
Preliminary card (ESPN)
Featherweight - Alex Caceres - 160 vs. Steven Peterson
Women's Bantamweight - Irene Aldana -160 vs. Raquel Pennington
Light Heavyweight - Klidson Abreu -165 vs. Sam Alvey
Women's Flyweight - Jennifer Maia -136 vs. Roxanne Modafferi
Bantamweight - Ray Borg -280 vs. Gabriel Silva
Bantamweight - Jin Soo Son -230 vs. Mario Bautista
Bantamweight - Domingo Pilarte -296 vs. Felipe Colares
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