Kron Gracie is a big favorite against Alex Caceres at UFC on ESPN 1 on Sunday, February 17 in Phoenix, Arizona. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN. Caceres is 14-11 in his career, while Gracie is 4-0 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on at UFC on ESPN 1, with the headliner a bout between Francis Ngannou and Cain Velasquez. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN and three on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Caceres and Gracie and UFC picks.
Bet on UFC at BookMaker.eu
Alex Caceres (14-11, 9-9 UFC)
Caceres came into the UFC with a record of 5-2 and he has nine wins and nine losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has two wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Rolando Dy by TKO and Martín Bravo split decision; while losing to Yair Rodríguez by split decision, Jason Knight by submission, and Wang Guan split decision. Caceres has been a pro since 2008 and has three wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has two first round finishes.
Kron Gracie (4-0, UFC debut)
Gracie will be making his UFC debut this Sunday against Caceres. In his last four fights, he has four wins and no losses. He defeated Hyung Soo-Kim by submission, Asen Yamamoto by submission, Hideo Tokoro by submission, and Tatsuya Kawajiri by submission. Gracie has been a pro since 2014 and has four wins by submission. He has three first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Caceres 3.86 / Gracie 0.00
Accuracy: Caceres 49% / Gracie 0%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Caceres 2.78/ Gracie 0.00
Defense: Caceres 63% / Gracie 0%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Caceres 0.57/ Gracie 0.00
Accuracy: Caceres 75% / Gracie 0%
Takedowns defended: Caceres 59% / Gracie 0%
Submission average: Caceres 0.8 / Gracie 0.0
UFC Picks
Gracie is getting a lot of respect from the oddsmakers, as he is a big favorite in his UFC debut. Gracie has a real chance to prove himself in this bout, while Caceres has been struggling. Gracie has shown in his fights that he goes fast and hard and looks to quickly land strikes or force his opponent to the mat. Caceres does have more experience, but it doesn’t look like it will matter in this fight. I have also noticed something else when it comes to the odds on fighters making their UFC debuts. When the odds strongly favor the fighter making their debut, that fighter almost always wins, as the oddsmakers have a good idea of what is going on. I know the price on this fight is really high, but I just can’t see any path to victory for Caceres. I will take Gracie in what should be a quick and easy win.
UFC on ESPN 1 takes place at the Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix, Arizona on Sunday, February 17 with six fights on the main card on ESPN, headlined by Francis Ngannou and Cain Velasquez and seven preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN and three on ESPN+.
Main Card (ESPN)
Heavyweight - Cain Velasquez -165 vs. Francis Ngannou
Lightweight - Paul Felder -120 vs. James Vick
Women's Strawweight - Cynthia Calvillo -324 vs. Cortney Casey
Featherweight - Kron Gracie -350 vs. Alex Caceres
Welterweight - Vicente Luque -380 vs. Bryan Barberena
Featherweight - Myles Jury -165 vs. Andre Fili
Preliminary Card (ESPN)
Bantamweight - Jimmie Rivera -160 vs. Aljamain Sterling
Bantamweight - Manny Bermudez -240 vs. Benito Lopez
Lightweight - Scott Holtzman -185 vs. Nik Lentz
Early Preliminary Card (ESPN+)
Bantamweight - Luke Sanders -190 vs. Renan Barão
Women's Strawweight - Jessica Penne -162 vs. Jodie Esquibel
Women's Strawweight - Aleksandra Albu -175 vs. Emily Whitmire
How to Bet
Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.
