UFC Odds and Picks – Klidson Abreu vs Jamahal Hill

UFC Odds and Picks – Klidson Abreu vs Jamahal Hill

Jamahal Hill is a slight favorite to defeat Klidson Abreu at UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns on Saturday, May 30 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Abreu is 15-4 in his career, while Hill is 7-0 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card, headlined by Tyron Woodley vs. Gilbert Burns and six preliminary bouts. All 11 of the fights will be shown on ESPN. Let’s look at the bout between Abreu and Hill and UFC picks.

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Klidson Abreu 15-4, 1-2 UFC
Abreu came into the UFC with a record of 14-2 and he has one win and two losses in the UFC. In his last six fights he has four wins and two losses. His three UFC bouts were a split decision loss to Shamil Gamzatov in November of last year, a unanimous decision win against Sam Alvey last July and a unanimous decision loss to Magomed Ankalaev last February. He defeated Anton Vyazigin in November of 2018 by submission, Viktor Nemkov in July of 2018 by submission and Matt Baker in April of 2018 by submission. Abreu has been a pro since 2011 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and 10 by submission. He has eight first round finishes.

Jamahal Hill 7-0, 1-0 UFC
Hill came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he won his UFC debut, as he defeated Darko Stosic by unanimous decision in January. In his previous four bouts he defeated Alexander Poppeck by knockout in round two, William Vincent by stoppage in round one, Dequan Townsend by unanimous decision and William Vincent by unanimous decision. Hill has been a pro since 2017 and he has three wins by TKO/KO. He has two first round finishes.

Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Hill 7.92 / Abreu 2.02
Striking Accuracy: Hill 52% / Abreu 39%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Hill 2.82 / Abreu 2.71
Defense: Hill 50% / Abreu 56%

Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Hill 0.00 / Abreu 0.67
Takedown Accuracy: Hill 0% / Abreu 20%
Takedowns defended: Hill 53% / Abreu 80%
Submission average: Hill 0.00 / Abreu 0.00

UFC Picks

Abreu was the champ in Brave CF before coming into the UFC, but he hasn’t done much in the UFC with a win and two losses. All three of his UFC bouts have gone to a decision. Hill is unbeaten and he looked good in a win over Stosic in his UFC debut. This fight on Saturday night is a huge contrast in terms of style. Abreu is all about getting fights to the mat, as he has 10 submission wins. Hill is the opposite, as he wants this fight to remain standing. It really is pretty simple, as if the fight stays standing then Hill is going to win, but if Abreu can get this fight to the mat he should win. I think Hill will be able to avoid most of Abreu’s takedown attempts, so I will take Hill to get the win. I will also play the rounds to go under the total.

UFC MMA Betting Bonus

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns takes place at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, May 30 with five fights on the main card, headlined by Tyron Woodley vs. Gilbert Burns and six preliminary bouts. All 11 bouts will be shown on ESPN.

UFC Main Card ESPN

Welterweight – Tyron Woodley -195 vs. Gilbert Burns
Heavyweight – Augusto Sakai -120 vs. Blagoy Ivanov
Welterweight – Kevin Holland -230 vs. Daniel Rodriguez
Lightweight – Roosevelt Roberts -330 vs. Brok Weaver
Women’s Strawweight – Mackenzie Dern -410 vs. Hannah Cifers

Preliminary UFC Card ESPN

Antonina Shevchenko -148 vs. Katlyn Chookagian
Billy Quarantillo -160 vs. Spike Carlyle
Jamahal Hill -130 vs. Klidson Abreu
Tim Elliott -195 vs. Brandon Royval
Casey Kenney -280 vs. Louis Smolka
Chris Gutierrez -115 vs. Vince Morales

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