Zac Pauga is favored against Mohammed Usman at UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill on Saturday, August 6 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 12 fights on ESPN/ESPN+. Pauga is 5-0 in his career, while Usman is 7-2 in his career. There are a total of 12 fights, all on ESPN/ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill. Let’s look at the bout between Pauga and Usman and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, August 6 with 12 fights, all on ESPN/ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill Betting
Zac Pauga (5-0, UFC debut)
Pauga will be making his UFC debut this Saturday. His last fight was on October 17, 2021 where he defeated Markus Perez by unanimous decision. Pauga has been a pro since 2020 and he has one win by TKO and four by decision. He has one first round finish.
Pauga said this to ufc.com about his upcoming fight against Usman, “I and Mohammed have trained together a lot. I know him really well, and he’s good. He’s who I see as my biggest competition.”
Mohammed Usman (7-2, UFC debut)
Usman will be making his UFC debut this Saturday. His last fight was on May 6, 2020 where he lost to Brandon Sayles by technical submission. Usman’s last win in his career was against Terrance Hodges by unanimous decision on August 28, 2020. Usman has been a pro since 2017 and he has three wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has five first round finishes.
Usman said this to ufc.om about his upcoming fight against Pauga, “Yeah, I’ve trained with Zac. I’ve trained with him fairly well. I train with a lot of guys down in Colorado. It’s a big group of guys. Zac is a good guy, he’s a great guy. I’m for him to get this opportunity, as well. I just look forward to getting in there and competing.”
Strikes landed per minute: Pauga 0.00/ Usman 0.00
Striking Accuracy: Pauga 0% / Usman 0%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Pauga 0.00 / Usman 0.00
Defense: Pauga 0% / Usman 0%
Takedown average: Pauga 0.00/ Usman 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Pauga 0% / Usman 0%
Takedowns defended: Pauga 0% / Usman 0%
Submission average: Pauga 0.0 / Usman 0.0
You probably recognize the name Usman, as Mohammed Usman is the younger brother of welterweight champion Kamaru Usman. There is no denying that Mohammed is built, as he has great physical talent. He does not, however, have the same type of ability his brother has. Pauga is unbeaten in his career and has looked good, although he doesn’t have a ton of experience. He does have a win over Markus Perez who is in the UFC, so at least he can hang his hat on that. This is an interesting contrast in styles, as Usman is simply bigger and stronger, while Pauga is quicker and more dynamic.
One of the first things that hit me about this fight, in addition to the contrast in styles, is the price. Pauga is listed as more than a 2-1 favorite to win this fight. I do lean to Pauga in this bout, but there is no way I am laying more than 2-1 on a fight that looks relatively even.
I think the best option in this fight is the rounds. These two fighters know each other really well so there won’t be any secrets when they get together. Usually when two fighters know each other’s strengths and weaknesses the fight turns into a very even affair that goes to a decision. The rounds on this fight are listed at 2.5 and the over/under is basically a pick. I think there is a good chance this fight goes to a decision, so I will take the rounds to go over the total.
|DATE ||FIGHTERS ||MONEY LINE |
|08/06 ||Thiago Santos ||+218 |
|Jamahal Hill ||-285 |
|08/06 ||Geoff Neal ||+146 |
|Vicente Luque ||-185 |
|08/06 ||Augusto Sakai ||+183 |
|Sergey Spivak ||-235 |
|08/06 ||Sam Alvey ||+431 |
|Michal Oleksiejczuk ||-650 |
|08/06 ||Takashi Sato ||+190 |
|Bryan Battle ||-245 |
|08/06 ||Priscila Cachoeira ||+139 |
|Ariane Lipski ||-175 |
|08/06 ||Erick Gonzalez ||+566 |
|Terrance McKinney ||-950 |
|08/06 ||Jason Witt ||+172 |
|Josh Quinlan ||-220 |
|08/06 ||Miranda Granger ||+176 |
|Cory McKenna ||-225 |
|08/06 ||Mayra Bueno Silva ||-105 |
|Stephanie Egger ||-125 |
|08/06 ||Mohammed Usman ||+186 |
|Zac Pauga ||-240 |
|08/06 ||Juliana Miller ||-125 |
|Brogan Walker-Sanchez ||-105 |
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