William Knight is favored against Fabio Cherant at UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum on Saturday, August 21 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+. Knight is 9-2 in his career, while Cherant is 7-2 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum and seven preliminary bouts on ESPN2/ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Knight and Cherant and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum takes place at UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, August 21 with five fights on the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ and seven preliminary bouts also on ESPN2/ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum Betting
William Knight (9-2, 1-1 UFC)
Knight came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has one win and one loss in the UFC. He lost to Da Un Jung by unanimous decision on April 10, 2021, won by unanimous decision against Aleksa Camur in September of 2020, won by TKO against Cody Brundage in September of last year, won by KO against Rocky Edwards in January of last year and lost by TKO against Tafon Nchukwi in November of 2019. Knight has been a pro since 2018 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO. He has five first round finishes.
Fabio Cherant (7-2, 0-1 UFC)
Cherant came into the UFC with a record of 7-1 and he has no wins and one loss in the UFC. He lost to Alonzo Menifield by shoulder choke submission on March 27, 2021. Cherant’s last win in his career was against Myron Dennis by unanimous decision on February 12, 2021. Cherant has been a pro since 2018 and he has six wins by submission. He has four first round finishes.
Cherant said that the weight cut really hurt him last time out in the loss to Menifield. “I was totally unprepared for it. Yeah, at the end of the day, I’m a professional, and I should have been working out, but people forget, a month before I fought for a world title and went five rounds while still nursing injuries.” Menifield said to the media, “Taking a fight on two days’ notice when you are unprepared is a whole different ball game.”
Strikes landed per minute: Knight 3.56 / Cherant 1.00
Striking Accuracy: Knight 74% / Cherant 30%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Knight 2.56 / Cherant 6.73
Defense: Knight 34% / Cherant 31%
Takedown average: Knight 2.56 / Cherant 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Knight 53% / Cherant 0%
Takedowns defended: Knight 40% / Cherant 0%
Submission average: Knight 0.3 / Cherant 0.0
The odds are moving toward Cherant in this one, but he is still nearly a 2-1 underdog against Knight. I think you can make a case for Cherant in terms of value, as there is not much to look at in terms of UFC experience for either of these two fighters. Is Knight good enough to be laying 2-1 in this fight? Knight has just one win in the UFC, while Cherant has just one UFC loss. Maybe we have to give Cherant a pass on his loss simply because of his trouble cutting weight. That could mean taking Cherant in this fight has some value. This is definitely a fight where the underdog has a real chance to win and we get a nice price at +150. The rounds option is listed at 1.5 and the over is -145. I think there is also some value on the over. These two seem evenly matched and I can’t see a quick finish by either of them. I will make two plays for this fight. I will take Cherant at plus money and also play the rounds to go over the total.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum Card & Odds
Middleweight - Kelvin Gastelum +124 vs. Jared Cannonier -155
Flyweight - Brandon Royval +143 vs. Alexandre Pantoja -180
Bantamweight - Domingo Pilarte +139 vs. Brian Kelleher -175
Light Heavyweight - Fabio Cherant +150 vs. William Knight -190
Heavyweight - Parker Porter +161 vs. Chase Sherman -205
Lightweight - Austin Hubbard -115 vs. Vinc Pichel -115
Featherweight - Austin Lingo +105 vs. Luis Saldana -135
Lightweight - Clay Guida +135 vs. Mark O. Madsen -170
Welterweight - Ramiz Brahimaj -130 vs. Sasha Palatnikov +100
Women's Bantamweight - Josiane Nunes +124 vs. Bea Malecki -155
Lightweight - Roosevelt Roberts -150 vs. Ignacio Bahamondes +120
Middleweight - Antonio Braga Neto +105 vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan -135
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