Tom Aspinall is heavily favored against Marcin Tybura at UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura on Saturday, July 22 in London, England. This event is one of 15 fights on ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass. Aspinall is 12-3 in his career, including 5-1 in the UFC, while Tybura is 24-7 in his career, including 11-6 in the UFC. There are a total of 15 fights, all on ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass at UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura. Let’s look at the bout between Aspinall and Tybura and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura takes place at The O2 Arena in London, England on Saturday, July 22 with 15 fights, all on ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass.
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura Betting
Tom Aspinall (12-3, 5-1 UFC)
Aspinall came into the UFC with a record of 7-2 and he has five wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Jake Collier by TKO, Alan Baudot by TKO, Andrei Arlovski by rear-naked choke submission, Sergey Spivak by TKO, and Alexander Volkov by straight armbar submission; while losing to Curtis Blaydes by TKO. Aspinall has been a pro since 2014 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has 11 first round finishes.
Aspinall said this to ufc.com about his upcoming fight against Tybura, “(Tybura) got me at the worst time he could ever get me because I am unbelievably hungry right now. I am ready to show everybody that I am just the next heavyweight champion, honestly. I’m ready to show everybody what I’m all about.”
Marcin Tybura (24-7, 11-6 UFC)
Tybura came into the UFC with a record of 13-1 and he has 11 wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Ben Rothwell by unanimous decision, Greg Hardy by TKO, Walt Harris by TKO, Alexander Romanov by majority decision, and Blagoy Ivanov by unanimous decision; while losing to Alexander Volkov by unanimous decision. Tybura has been a pro since 2011 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.
Former UFC middleweight champion Michael Bisping said this to dazn.com about the upcoming fight between Aspinall and Tybura, “Tom is without question a future UFC champion but I'm not saying he beats Marcin Tybura. Tybura is a real threat. Tybura is no walk in the park. He's big, strong and maybe able to shut down some of the things Tom does well. Will Tom be able to blast through him and double leg him like he's done other people? I don't know if he can. Tom's done that in the past. On the feet Tom's deadly but so is Tybura. It's a very competitive fight, who knows, Tom could blow through him or we might see Tybura get a hold of him, ragdoll him and control him.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Aspinall 7.41 /Tybura 3.55
Striking Accuracy: Aspinall 65% /Tybura 48%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Aspinall 2.87/Tybura 3.31
Defense: Aspinall 64% /Tybura 55%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Aspinall 4.00 /Tybura 1.39
Takedown Accuracy: Aspinall 100% /Tybura 33%
Takedowns defended: Aspinall 100% /Tybura 79%
Submission average: Aspinall 2.0 /Tybura 0.1
UFC Picks
I think Aspinall is the clear choice to win this fight. He was rolling along until suffering a knee injury against Curtis Blaydes. Tybura has won seven of his last eight fights, but I am not sold he is a true title contender. The problem, of course, is the price on this fight, as Aspinall is listed as a 5-1 favorite. I don’t lay that type of price on anyone. The rounds are listed at 1.5 with the under favored at -180. I think taking the rounds under is the best choice, as I think Aspinall wins this one in quick fashion. When props come out it is also worth taking Aspinall to win this fight by TKO or submission.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 7/22 | Marcin Tybura | +351 |
| Tom Aspinall | -500 |
| 7/22 | Julija Stoliarenko | +158 |
| Molly McCann | -200 |
| 7/22 | Andre Fili | +158 |
| Nathaniel Wood | -200 |
| 7/22 | Paul Craig | +183 |
| Andre Muniz | -235 |
| 7/22 | Fares Ziam | -160 |
| Jai Herbert | +127 |
| 7/22 | Josh Culibao | +110 |
| Lerone Murphy | -140 |
| 7/22 | Daniel Marcos | -140 |
| Davey Grant | +110 |
| 7/22 | Jonny Parsons | -115 |
| Danny Roberts | -115 |
| 7/22 | Marc Diakiese | +161 |
| Joel Alvarez | -205 |
| 7/22 | Jamal Pogues | -155 |
| Mick Parkin | +124 |
| 7/22 | Bryan Barberena | +228 |
| Makhmud Muradov | -300 |
| 7/22 | Pannie Kianzad | +120 |
| Ketlen Vieira | -150 |
| 7/22 | Chris Duncan | -155 |
| Yanal Ashmoz | +124 |
| 7/22 | Bruna Brasil | -155 |
| Shauna Bannon | +124 |
| 7/22 | Daniel Barez | -105 |
| Jafel Filho | -125 |
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