Krzysztof Jotko is favored against Misha Cirkunov at UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker on Saturday, October 2 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 15 fights on ESPN+. Cirkunov is 15-6 in his career, while Jotko is 22-5 in his career. There are a total of 15 fights on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker. Let’s look at the bout between Cirkunov and Jotko and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker takes place at UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, October 2 with 15 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker Betting
Misha Cirkunov (15-6, 6-4 UFC)
Cirkunov came into the UFC with a record of 9-2 and he has six wins and four losses in the UFC. He defeated Daniel Jolly by KO, Alex Nicholson by neck crank submission, Ion Cu?elaba by arm-triangle choke submission, Nikita Krylov by guillotine choke submission, Patrick Cummins by arm-triangle choke submission, and Jimmy Crute by peruvian necktie submission; while losing to Volkan Oezdemir by KO, Glover Teixeira by TKO, Johnny Walker by TKO, and Ryan Spann by TKO. Cirkunov has been a pro since 2010 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has 11 first round finishes.
Krzysztof Jotko (22-5, 9-5 UFC)
Jotko came into the UFC with a record of 13-0 and he has nine wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Alen Amedovski by unanimous decision, Marc-André Barriault by split decision, and Eryk Anders by unanimous decision; while losing to Uriah Hall by TKO, Brad Tavares by TKO, and Sean Strickland by unanimous decision. Jotko has been a pro since 2010 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has four first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Cirkunov 4.18 / Jotko 2.94
Striking Accuracy: Cirkunov 51% / Jotko 41%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Cirkunov 3.22 / Jotko 2.20
Defense: Cirkunov 60% / Jotko 57%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Cirkunov 4.28 / Jotko 1.16
Takedown Accuracy: Cirkunov 57% / Jotko 34%
Takedowns defended: Cirkunov 71% / Jotko 87%
Submission average: Cirkunov 2.3 / Jotko 0.1
UFC Picks
The key question in this fight is how Cirkunov does dropping down to 185 pounds.
Cirkunov has 15 wins with 13 of those wins coming by finish. There is no question that Cirkunov is not going to want this fight to go the distance, as cutting weight is never easy and Cirkunov doesn't figure to have great cardio for this fight. It should also be noted that Cirkunov has finished 11 of his fights in the first round.
Jotko is almost the opposite of Cirkunov as he rarely gets finishes. Jotko has won 22 times and he has finished just seven times. The strategy for Jotko should be to play defense in the first round and try and tire out Cikunov and then take advantage in the last two rounds.
I am very leery about taking a fighter dropping so much weight. What we do know is that if Cirkunov wins it should be early. Playing Cirkunov to win by finish is one prop worth considering as a hedge and then for the main play taking Jotko to win this fight by decision.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker Card & Odds
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 10/02 | Johnny Walker | +135 |
| Thiago Santos | -170 |
| 10/02 | Kyle Daukaus | +124 |
| Kevin Holland | -155 |
| 10/02 | Macy Chiasson | +172 |
| Aspen Ladd | -220 |
| 10/02 | Misha Cirkunov | +130 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | -163 |
| 10/02 | Jared Gordon | +110 |
| Joe Solecki | -140 |
| 10/02 | Bethe Correia | +261 |
| Karol Rosa | -350 |
| 10/02 | Gaetano Pirrello | +200 |
| Douglas Silva de Andrade | -259 |
| 10/02 | Devonte Smith | -165 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | +131 |
| 10/02 | Johnny Eduardo | +183 |
| Alejandro Perez | -235 |
| 10/02 | Niko Price | -150 |
| Alex Oliveira | +120 |
| 10/02 | Antonina Shevchenko | +168 |
| Casey ONeill | -215 |
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