Julian Marquez is favored against Sam Alvey at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland on Saturday, April 10 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ABC/ESPN+. Marquez is 8-2 in his career, while Alvey is 33-14-1 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland, with the headliner a bout between Marvin Vettori and Kevin Holland. There are also a total of nine fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let's look at the bout between Marquez and Alvey and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland Betting
Julian Marquez (8-2, 2-1 UFC)
Marquez came into the UFC with a record 6-1 and he has two wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Darren Stewart by guillotine choke submission and Maki Pitolo by anaconda choke submission; while losing to Alessio Di Chirico by split decision. Marquez has been a pro since 2014 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has four first round finishes.
Sam Alvey (33-14-1, 10-9-1 UFC)
Alvey came into the UFC with a record of 23-5 and he has 10 wins, nine losses, and one draw in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has one win, four losses, and one draw. He defeated Gian Villante by split decision; while losing to Antônio Rogério Nogueira by TKO, Jimmy Crute by TKO, Klidson Abreu by unanimous decision, and Ryan Spann by split decision; and fighting to a draw against Da Un Jung. Alvey has been a pro since 2008 and he has 19 wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has 14 first round finishes. Alvey said this sportskeeda.com about his upcoming fight against Marquez, We've got, probably a little bit (of a) tougher opponent in Marquez. Tougher might be the wrong word.
He's just a different set of skills, he's a different fighter. We're adapting and we're going to show up in tip-top shape. I think his biggest weakness is inexperience. I have more knockouts than he has fights. I've been in there; I've fought some of the best in the world. Even recently I've fought some of the best in the world; I've beaten some of the best in the world. As good as he is, he may be one of the best in the world someday, but he's got to get through me first. He's (Marquez) got two submission wins and he's got about 130 submission attempts, it's the guillotine or the kimura every time. He's got what he's good at, I just have to make sure that I either don't give him the opportunity to be good at it, or I have to be better in those positions. I think if it goes to the ground it's my advantage, he does get taken down a lot (but) he makes people work for the takedown, he doesn't just fall over like a lot of Jiu-Jitsu guys."
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Marquez 3.50/ Alvey 3.17
Striking Accuracy: Marquez 40% / Alvey 44%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Marquez 2.98/ Alvey 3.26
Defense: Marquez 52% / Alvey 55%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Marquez 0.00/ Alvey 0.08
Takedown Accuracy: Marquez 0% / Alvey 16%
Takedowns defended: Marquez 53% / Alvey 82%
Submission average: Marquez 3.4/ Alvey 0.1
UFC Picks
Alvey has more experience in the UFC but he has been struggling lately, winning only one of his last six fights. I don't think Alvey can keep this fight from going to the mat and there is no question Marquez has the edge on the mat. I will take Marquez and also play the rounds to go under.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland Card & Odds
Middleweight - Kevin Holland +252 vs. Marvin Vettori -318
Women's Strawweight - Nina Ansaroff -142 vs. Mackenzie Dern +118
Heavyweight - Jarjis Danho +228 vs. Yorgan De Castro -284
Lightweight - John Makdessi +154 vs. Ignacio Bahamondes -186
Featherweight - Arnold Allen +110 vs. Sodiq Yusuff -134
Welterweight - Mike Perry +138 vs. Daniel Rodriguez -166
Middleweight - Kyle Daukaus -102 vs. Aliaskhab Khizriev -122
Featherweight - Jordan Griffin +113 vs. Luis Saldana -137
Bantamweight - Hunter Azure +134 vs. Jack Shore -162
Lightweight - Jim Miller +188 vs. Joe Solecki -230
Welterweight - Impa Kasanganay -293 vs. Sasha Palatnikov +235
Middleweight - Sam Alvey +158 vs. Julian Marquez -191
Lightweight - Scott Holtzman +193 vs. Mateusz Gamrot -235
Middleweight - Da Un Jung -142 vs. William Knight +118
Women's Bantamweight - Erin Blanchfield +203 vs. Norma Dumont -250
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