Jessica Andrade is favored against Erin Blanchfield at UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield on Saturday, February 18 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 12 fights on ESPN+. Andrade is 24-9 in her career, including 15-7 in the UFC, while Blanchfield is 10-1 in her career, including 4-0 in the UFC. There are a total of 12 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield. Let’s look at the bout between Andrade and Blanchfield and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, February 18 with 12 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Jessica Andrade vs. Erin Blanchfield
Jessica Andrade (24-9, 15-7 UFC)
Andrade came into the UFC with a record of 9-2 and she has 15 wins and seven losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has four wins and two losses. She defeated Katlyn Chookagian by TKO, Cynthia Calvillo by TKO, Amanda Lemos by standing arm-triangle choke submission, and Lauren Murphy by unanimous decision; while losing to Rose Namajunas by split decision and Valentina Shevchenko by TKO. Andrade has been a pro since 2011 and she has nine wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. She has 11 first round finishes.
Erin Blanchfield (10-1, 4-0 UFC)
Blanchfield came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and she has four wins and no losses in the UFC. She defeated Sarah Alpar by unanimous decision, Miranda Maverick by unanimous decision, JJ Aldrich by guillotine choke submission, and Molly McCann by kimura submission. Blanchfield’s only loss in her career was against Tracy Cortez by split decision in February of 2019. Blanchfield has been a pro since 2018 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. She has three first round finishes.
Strikes landed per minute: Andrade 6.80 /Blanchfield 5.79
Striking Accuracy: Andrade 51% /Blanchfield 57%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Andrade 5.26/Blanchfield 2.45
Defense: Andrade 54% /Blanchfield 61%
Takedown average: Andrade 2.72 /Blanchfield 4.00
Takedown Accuracy: Andrade 55% /Blanchfield 68%
Takedowns defended: Andrade 73% /Blanchfield 75%
Submission average: Andrade 0.4 /Blanchfield 1.4
The first question to answer in this one is whether or not Andrade can be ready to fight with little preparation time. We know she is a former strawweight champion but I don’t think there is any question she has been somewhat overrated. She has seven losses in the UFC and she is only 4-2 in her last six fights but we know that Andrade has finishing power and if she is well prepared, she can be a tough fighter to deal with.
Blanchfield is the big prospect who is unbeaten in the UFC. The question we have to answer with Blanchfield is whether she can handle a fighter like Andrade. This is definitely a step up in level for Blanchfield, but she sure hasn’t done anything wrong in her UFC career.
Andrade is listed as the favorite in this fight and I am definitely tempted to take Blanchfield at the plus price. I am one of those people who think Andrade has not lived up to her potential through the years. That being said, we simply don’t know yet if Blanchfield is a top-level fighter.
One thing to keep in mind is that this fight is not the normal three-round fight that these two fighters are used to. This is a main event fight and it is schedule for five rounds. Andrade has shown the ability to finish fights in the past and Blanchfield definitely has finishing skills, particularly on the mat. I think the best choice it to take the rounds under the total. I prefer to get the rounds at 4.5 or perhaps 3.5 and go under that total. I am not quite as excited about playing the 2.5 rounds at even money. Perhaps playing a prop for Andrade or Blanchfield to win by KO or submission might offer more value.
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