Sergey Spivak is favored against Derrick Lewis at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak on Saturday, February 4 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 12 fights on ESPN+. Lewis is 26-10 in his career, while Spivak is 15-3 in his career. There are a total of 12 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak. Let’s look at the bout between Lewis and Spivak and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, February 4 with 12 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak Betting
Derrick Lewis (26-10, 17-8 UFC)
Lewis came into the UFC with a record 9-2 and he has 17 wins and eight losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Aleksei Oleinik by TKO, Curtis Blaydes by KO, and Chris Daukaus by KO; while losing to Ciryl Gane by TKO, Tai Tuivasa by KO, and Sergei Pavlovich by TKO. Lewis has been a pro since 2010 and he has 21 wins by TKO/KO and one submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Lewis said this to bjpenn.com about his upcoming fight against Spivak, “It’s fine if everyone is underestimating me. It’s great — I love being underestimated. I believe I’ll get the job done, and I believe this is a perfect matchup to get the job done; to go out there and show everyone these skills that I’ve learned over the last few months.”
Lewis has just one win in his last four fights, but he has been excellent in his career when the fights are in Las Vegas, as he is a perfect 8-0.
Sergey Spivak (15-3, 6-3 UFC)
Spivak came into the UFC with a record of 9-0 and he has six wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Tai Tuivasa by technical submission, Carlos Felipe by majority decision, Jared Vanderaa by TKO, Alexey Oleynik by unanimous decision, Greg Hardy by TKO, and Augusto Sakai by TKO; while losing to Walt Harris by TKO, Marcin Tybura by unanimous decision, and Tom Aspinall by TKO. Spivak has been a pro since 2014 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has nine first round finishes.
Spivak has been rolling along and he is also very comfortable fighting in Vegas, as he calls Vegas his home. He will be fighting for the sixth straight time in Las Vegas.
Strikes landed per minute: Lewis 2.57 /Spivak 3.79
Striking Accuracy: Lewis 50% /Spivak 51%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Lewis 2.57/Spivak 2.96
Defense: Lewis 41% /Spivak 55%
Takedown average: Lewis 0.60 /Spivak 4.09
Takedown Accuracy: Lewis 28% /Spivak 63%
Takedowns defended: Lewis 55% /Spivak 70%
Submission average: Lewis 0.0 /Spivak 0.4
We know that Lewis has struggled lately, but his losses have come against some top ranked fighters. Spivak is not in the same category of some of the fighters who have beaten Lewis. I know that Lewis has burned bettors lately, but I think he has some value as almost a 2-1 underdog. Lewis comes into this fight in better shape and he looks to be really focused at turning things around. And we know that Lewis has the power to end this fight quickly. Lewis has 21 knockouts in his career and it would not surprise me at all to see him get the knockout in this fight. Spivak also has power, and he also has the ability to finish fights on the mat.
This fight seems unlikely to go to the mat, so it should be a battle of striking and if that is the case you have to give Lewis a decent chance to win. The rounds option would also be worth considering, but oddsmakers have set the rounds at 1.5, so that is probably a pass. I think the best choice in this fight is simply to take Lewis at the plus price.
|DATE ||FIGHTERS ||MONEY LINE |
|2/4 ||Derrick Lewis ||+179 |
|Sergey Spivak ||-230 |
|2/4 ||Devin Clark ||+190 |
|Da Un Jung ||-245 |
|2/4 ||Blagoy Ivanov ||+113 |
|Marcin Tybura ||-143 |
|2/4 ||Kyle Nelson ||+150 |
|Doo Ho Choi ||-190 |
|2/4 ||Adam Fugitt ||+238 |
|Yusaku Kinoshita ||-315 |
|2/4 ||Anshul Jubli ||-120 |
|Jeka Asparido Saragih ||-110 |
|2/4 ||Zha Yi ||+194 |
|Jeong Yeong Lee ||-250 |
|2/4 ||Rinya Nakamura ||+307 |
|Toshiomi Kazama ||-425 |
|2/4 ||Seung Guk Choi ||+150 |
|Hyun Sung Park ||-190 |
|2/4 ||Mandy Böhm ||+214 |
|Ji Yeon Kim ||-280 |
|2/4 ||Denis Tiuliulin ||+158 |
|Jun Yong Park ||-200 |
|2/4 ||Jesus Aguilar ||+675 |
|Tatsuro Taira ||-1250 |
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