Dan Ige is favored against Andre Fili at UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer on Saturday, February 10 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 14 fights on ESPN+. Ige is 17-7 in his career, including 9-6 in the UFC, while Fili is 23-10 in his career, including 11-9 in the UFC. There are a total of 14 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer. Let’s look at the bout between Ige and Fili and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, February 10 with 14 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Betting
Dan Ige (17-7, 9-6 UFC)
Ige came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has nine wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has two wins and four losses. He defeated Damon Jackson by KO and Nate Landwehr by unanimous decision; while losing to Jung Chan-sung by unanimous decision, Josh Emmett by unanimous decision, Movsar Evloev by unanimous decision, and Bryce Mitchell by unanimous decision. Ige has been a pro since 2014 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Andre Fili (23-10, 11-9 UFC)
Fili came into the UFC with a record of 12-1 and he has 11 wins and nine losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Charles Jourdain by split decision, Bill Algeo by split decision, and Lucas Almeida by TKO; while losing to Bryce Mitchell by unanimous decision, Joanderson Brito by TKO, and Nathaniel Wood by unanimous decision. Fili has been a pro since 2009 and he has 10 wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Ige 3.76 /Fili 3.86
Striking Accuracy: Ige 45% /Fili 37%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Ige 3.53/Fili 4.11
Defense: Ige 57% /Fili 51%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Ige 1.07/Fili 2.19
Takedown Accuracy: Ige 26%/Fili 47%
Takedowns defended: Ige 58%/Fili 69%
Submission average: Ige 0.3/Fili 0.3
UFC Picks
Fili is stepping in on short notice to take this fight, as he replaced Lerone Murphy who withdrew last month. Ige is listed as a -170 favorite to win this fight. Ige is looking to rebound from a loss to Bryce Mitchell last September. Fili has won two of his last three fights. He is coming off a good win against Lucas Almeida at UFC 296. Ige and Fili are pretty even in terms of striking, although Ige is a little more accurate. Fili is definitely better on the mat considering he has a better takedown average and defends better. Fili would be smart to find a way to get this fight to the mat if he expects to win.
Ige hasn’t really done anything to deserve being listed as a favorite, as he has lost four of his last six fights. Fili isn’t anything special either, as he has alternated wins and losses in his last four fights. I suppose if you simply look at this fight in terms of value then you take Fili at plus money because this fight is really a toss-up. I am sure not laying money on Ige in this fight.
While I do think there is some value in taking Fili at plus money in UFC betting odds, I think the better option is to play the rounds. Neither of these fighters has shown a lot of finishing power in their careers. Ige has five finishes by KO or TKO and five by submission, while Fili has 10 wins by KO or TKO and three by submission. The rounds are listed at 2.5 with the over at -185. I think there is a good chance this fight goes the distance, so I will take the rounds to go over the total.
| DATE |
FIGHTERS |
MONEY LINE |
| 02/10 |
Jack Hermansson |
+204 |
| Joe Pyfer |
-265 |
| 02/10 |
Brad Tavares |
+186 |
| Gregory Rodrigues |
-240 |
| 02/10 |
Damir Hadzovic |
+231 |
| Bolaji Oki |
-305 |
| 02/10 |
Michael Johnson |
-130 |
| Darrius Flowers |
+100 |
| 02/10 |
Armen Petrosyan |
-110 |
| Rodolfo Vieira |
-120 |
| 02/10 |
Trevin Giles |
+201 |
| Carlos Prates |
-260 |
| 02/10 |
Bruna Brasil |
+207 |
| Loma Lookboonmee |
-270 |
| 02/10 |
Zac Pauga |
-125 |
| Bogdan Guskov |
-105 |
| 02/10 |
Marcin Prachnio |
+172 |
| Devin Clark |
-220 |
| 02/10 |
Max Griffin |
+127 |
| Jeremiah Wells |
-160 |
| 02/10 |
Aoriqileng |
+194 |
| Daniel Marcos |
-250 |
| 02/10 |
Andre Fili |
+135 |
| Dan Ige |
-170 |
| 02/10 |
Fernie Garcia |
+150 |
| Hyder Amil |
-190 |
| 02/10 |
Robert Bryczek |
-195 |
| Albert Duraev |
+154 |
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