Tom Aspinall is slightly favored against Curtis Blaydes at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall on Saturday, July 23 in London, England. This event is one of 14 fights on ESPN+. Blaydes is 16-3 in his career, while Aspinall is 12-2 in his career. There are a total of 14 fights, with all of them on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall. Let’s look at the bout between Blaydes and Aspinall and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall takes place at The O2 Arena in London, England on Saturday, July 23 with 14 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Betting
Curtis Blaydes (16-3, 11-3 UFC)
Blaydes came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and he has 11 wins and three losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Shamil Abdurakhimov by TKO, Junior dos Santos by TKO, Alexander Volkov by unanimous decision, Jairzinho Rozenstruik by unanimous decision, and Chris Daukaus by TKO; while losing to Derrick Lewis by KO. Blaydes has been a pro since 2014 and he has 11 wins by TKO/KO and five by decision. He has two first round finishes.
Tom Aspinall (12-2, 5-0 UFC)
Aspinall came into the UFC with a record of 7-2 and he has five wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Jake Collier by TKO, Alan Baudot by TKO, Andrei Arlovski by rear-naked choke submission, Sergey Spivak by TKO, and Alexander Volkov by straight armbar submission. Aspinall’s last loss in his career was against Lukasz Parobiec by disqualification in May of 2016. Aspinall has been a pro since 2014 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.
Aspinall said this to mmafighting.com about his upcoming fight against Blaydes, “Curtis Blaydes is probably the toughest fight in the division for me stylistically. But I’m okay with that because that pushes me to a whole new level. That pushes me to levels I’ve never been before, and that’s what I need. If I’m with someone that’s going to make me comfortable, I’m going to stay exactly where I am and do the exact same work that I’ve been doing. If you’re going to give me someone that I think is a scary fight and you’re going to give me fear, you don’t want to see me scared, because I end up doing stuff like I did in the O2 the time I fought. I end up doing some crazy stuff that I’ve never done before. So me with a massive fight with a really tough guy, that’s dangerous. That’s dangerous for any heavyweight.”
He said to the media that this fight should end in a finish. “I’m one of the most dangerous fighters in the UFC, I’ve got the best finishing record in the UFC, and I’ve got finishes from all different positions,” said Aspinall to the media, “I can win literally anywhere, which is pretty rare – especially for heavyweights. That’s how I see myself winning (against Blaydes), getting a finish. It’s heavyweight MMA, them gloves are so small and the heavyweights are so big; we can all beat each other. Ngannou’s the champion right now, and I know he’s a devastating puncher, but if someone lands clean on his chin, he’s gonna go over just like anyone else.”
Strikes landed per minute: Blaydes 3.52 / Aspinall 7.33
Striking Accuracy: Blaydes 51% / Aspinall 65%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Blaydes 1.68 / Aspinall 2.65
Defense: Blaydes 60% / Aspinall 64%
Takedown average: Blaydes 6.06 / Aspinall 4.07
Takedown Accuracy: Blaydes 53% / Aspinall 100%
Takedowns defended: Blaydes 33% / Aspinall 100%
Submission average: Blaydes 0.0 / Aspinall 2.0
This fight looks really even and the oddsmakers agree, as Aspinall is just barely favored. I lean slightly to Aspinall but I think the rounds are definitely worth playing. It is just a matter of your tolerance for the price. I like the under 3.5 rounds option the best. You have to lay about -175 but I think the price is worth it rather than playing under 1.5 or 2.5 rounds at a more favorable number.
|DATE ||FIGHTERS ||MONEY LINE |
|07/23 ||Tom Aspinall ||-135 |
|Curtis Blaydes ||+105 |
|07/23 ||Jordan Leavitt ||+207 |
|Paddy Pimblett ||-270 |
|07/23 ||Alexander Gustafsson ||+146 |
|Nikita Krylov ||-185 |
|07/23 ||Hannah Goldy ||+298 |
|Molly McCann ||-410 |
|07/23 ||Volkan Oezdemir ||-165 |
|Paul Craig ||+131 |
|07/23 ||Damir Hadzovic ||+261 |
|Marc Diakiese ||-350 |
|07/23 ||Makwan Amirkhani ||+165 |
|Jonathan Pearce ||-210 |
|07/23 ||Charles Rosa ||+398 |
|Nathaniel Wood ||-585 |
|07/23 ||Charles Johnson ||+322 |
|Muhammad Mokaev ||-450 |
|07/23 ||Kyle Nelson ||+214 |
|Jai Herbert ||-280 |
|07/23 ||Victoria Leonardo ||+100 |
|Mandy Bohm ||-130 |
|07/23 ||Claudio Silva ||+194 |
|Nicolas Dalby ||-250 |
|07/23 ||Chris Curtis ||-115 |
|Jack Hermansson ||-115 |
|07/23 ||Ludovit Klein ||+261 |
|Mason Jones ||-350 |
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