Ciryl Gane is favored against Sergey Spivak at UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivak on Saturday, September 2 in Paris, France. Keep in mind that since this event is being held in France, it will start in the early afternoon, Eastern Time. This fight is one of 12 fights on ESPN+. Gane is 11-2 in his career, while Spivak is 16-3 in his career. There are a total of 12 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivak. Let’s look at the bout between Gane and Spivak and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivak takes place at the Accor Arena in Paris, France on Saturday, September 2 with 12 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivak Betting
Ciryl Gane (11-2, 8-2 UFC)
Gane came into the UFC with a record of 3-0 and he has eight wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Raphael Pessoa by arm-triangle choke submission, Don'Tale Mayes by heel hook submission, Tanner Boser by unanimous decision, Junior dos Santos by TKO, Jairzinho Rozenstruik by unanimous decision, Alexander Volkov by unanimous decision, Derrick Lewis by TKO, and Tai Tuivasa by KO; while losing to Francis Ngannou by unanimous decision and Jon Jones by guillotine choke submission.
Gane has been a pro since 2018 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has three first round finishes.
Gane said this to sportskeeda.com about his upcoming fight against Spivak, “Tai Tuivasa was spectacular and he was a dangerous guy. But Spivak, he doesn't look like a dangerous guy...But he is more dangerous because he can strike, he can wrestle and he can go to the ground game. It's going to be a big test for me. This is a new guy in just joining the top five...He's a good guy, a good fighter. He's well-rounded and he's dangerous.”
Sergey Spivak (16-3. 7-3 UFC)
Spivak came into the UFC with a record of 9-0 and he has seven wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Tai Tuivasa by technical submission, Carlos Felipe by majority decision, Jared Vanderaa by TKO, Aleksei Oleinik by unanimous decision, Greg Hardy by TKO, Augusto Sakai by TKO, and Derrick Lewis by arm-triangle choke submission; while losing to Walt Harris by TKO, Marcin Tybura by unanimous decision, and Tom Aspinall by TKO. Spivak has been a pro since 2014 and he has seven wins by TKO/O and seven by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Gane 5.08 /Spivak 3.79
Striking Accuracy: Gane 59% /Spivak 51%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Gane 2.25/Spivak 2.84
Defense: Gane 62% /Spivak 55%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Gane 0.61/Spivak 5.05
Takedown Accuracy: Gane 21% /Spivak 65%
Takedowns defended: Gane 45% /Spivak 70%
Submission average: Gane 0.5 /Spivak 0.6
UFC Picks
This fight really comes down to whether or not Gane can keep the fight standing. If this fight goes to the mat, then Gane is in real trouble. Jones got Gane to the mat quickly in his last fight and it was over. If Gane is able to show some good takedown defense then he definitely has the edge in striking. I just don’t like that 45% percentage on Gane in terms of takedown defense. Maybe he can get Spivak into trouble early and find a way to get the knockout. Regardless, this one definitely looks like a fight that doesn’t go the distance. I think taking the rounds to go under is the best bet. I also think you could make a couple of prop bets and take Gane to win by TKO and Spivak to win by submission. You get nice plus money on both of those props. If one of those props hits then you do really well on the props and you also win the rounds going under the total. The danger, of course, is that the fight goes to a decision, but I just don’t think that is likely considering the finishing ability of both of these fighters.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 9/02 | Serghei Spivac | +135 |
| Ciryl Gane | -170 |
| 9/02 | Rose Namajunas | +146 |
| Manon Fiorot | -185 |
| 9/02 | Thiago Moises | +127 |
| Benoit Saint-Denis | -160 |
| 9/02 | Bogdan Guskov | +143 |
| Volkan Oezdemir | -180 |
| 9/02 | Manolo Zecchini | +250 |
| Morgan Charriere | -333 |
| 9/02 | Zarah Fairn | +277 |
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | -375 |
| 9/02 | Joselyne Edwards | -115 |
| Nora Cornolle | -115 |
| 9/02 | Ange Loosa | -180 |
| Rhys McKee | +143 |
| 9/02 | Kleydson Rodrigues | +248 |
| Farid Basharat | -330 |
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