Muslim Salikhov is slightly favored against Andre Fialho at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak on Saturday, November 19 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN+. Fialho is 16-5 in his career, while Salikhov is 18-3 in his career. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak. Let’s look at the bout between Fialho and Salikhov and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, November 19 with 13 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak Betting
Andre Fialho (16-5, 2-2 UFC)
Fialho came into the UFC with a record of 14-3 and he has two wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Miguel Baeza by TKO and Cameron VanCamp by KO; while losing to Michel Pereira by unanimous decision and Jake Matthews by KO. Fialho has been a pro since 2014 and he has 13 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has 12 first round finishes.
Muslim Salikhov (18-3, 5-2 UFC)
Salikhov came into the UFC with a record of 13-1 and he has five wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Ricky Rainey by KO, Nordine Taleb by KO, Laureano Staropoli by unanimous decision, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by split decision, and Francisco Trinaldo by unanimous decision; while losing to Alex Garcia by rear-naked choke submission and Li Jingliang by TKO. Salikhov has been a pro since 2011 and he has 12 wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has 13 first round finishes.
Strikes landed per minute: Fialho 3.78 /Salikhov 3.04
Striking Accuracy: Fialho 42% /Salikhov 47%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Fialho 6.65 /Salikhov 2.56
Defense: Fialho 48% /Salikhov 66%
Takedown average: Fialho 0.00 /Salikhov 1.17
Takedown Accuracy: Fialho 0% /Salikhov 35%
Takedowns defended: Fialho 75% /Salikhov 77%
Submission average: Fialho 0.0 /Salikhov 0.0
Fialho will be fighting for the fifth time in 2022, but his first since UFC 275 in June, where he was beaten by Jake Matthews. Salikhov had his five-fight winning streak stopped by Li Jingliang in July. Fialho is 2-2 in the UFC with a couple of good wins against Miguel Baeza and Camero VanCamp. Fialho won each of those fights by knockout and he was very impressive. The problem he has this time around is that Salikhov is better than either of the fighters he beat. Salikhov is 5-2 record in the UFC. The way to beat Salikhov is by getting him to the mat, as Alex Garcia did in 2017. Fialho is a fighter who wants to win by keeping the fight standing. That type of fight is usually fine with Salikhov who has powerful and accurate strikes. Most of the wins by Salikhov have come by knockout.
I am really surprised at the price on this fight, as I think Salikhov is the better fighter and yet, he is listed as just a -130 favorite. Oftentimes in the UFC I will look to take either a fighter or the rounds option. There are occasions where I will take both a fighter and the rounds, but it doesn’t happen regularly. In this fight I think you can make a good case for making two plays. Salikhov has simply fought better competition in his career than has Fialho. Perhaps Fialho is ready to make the step up to take on Salikhov, but I am not so sure. I think laying the small price on Salikhov is worth a play.
I also think the rounds are worth playing and perhaps that is the best option for this fight. These two fighters are finishers, as they have combined for 25 knockouts. Both fighters want this bout to be one that has a lot of action so we should see a lot of punches thrown. I can’t see this fight going the distance, so I will go under the rounds total.
|DATE ||FIGHTERS ||MONEY LINE |
|11/19 ||Sergey Spivak ||-185 |
|Derrick Lewis ||+146 |
|11/19 ||Jennifer Maia ||+139 |
|Maryna Moroz ||-175 |
|11/19 ||Kennedy Nzechukwu ||-170 |
|Ion Cutelaba ||+135 |
|11/19 ||Andre Fialho ||+100 |
|Muslim Salikhov ||-130 |
|11/19 ||Danny Roberts ||+356 |
|Jack Della Maddalena ||-509 |
|11/19 ||Zhalgas Zhumagulov ||+131 |
|Charles Johnson ||-165 |
|11/19 ||Natalia Silva ||-175 |
|Tereza Bleda ||+139 |
|11/19 ||Maria Oliveira ||-125 |
|Vanessa Demopoulos ||-105 |
|11/19 ||Kevin Natividad ||+124 |
|Ricky Turcios ||-155 |
|11/19 ||Fernie Garcia ||+127 |
|Brady Hiestand ||-160 |
|11/19 ||Vince Morales ||+115 |
|Miles Johns ||-145 |
|11/19 ||Chase Sherman ||+150 |
|Waldo Cortes Acosta ||-190 |
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