Alexander Romanov is favored against Alexander Volkov at UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili on Saturday, March 11 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN+. Volkov is 35-10 in his career, including 9-4 in the UFC, while Romanov is 16-1 in his career, including 5-1 in the UFC. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili. Let’s look at the bout between Volkov and Romanov and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili takes place at The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, March 11 with 13 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili Betting
Alexander Volkov (35-10, 9-4 UFC)
Volkov came into the UFC with a record of 26-6 and he has nine wins and four losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, four wins and two losses. He defeated Walt Harris by TKO, Alistair Overeem by TKO, Marcin Tybura by unanimous decision, and Jairzinho Rozenstruik by TKO; while losing to Ciryl Gane by unanimous decision and Tom Aspinall by straight armbar submission. Volkov has been a pro since 2009 and he has 23 wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has 16 first round finishes.
Alexander Romanov (16-1, 5-1 UFC)
Romanov came into the UFC with a record of 11-0 and he has five wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Roque Martinez by arm-triangle choke submission, Marcos Rogério de Lima by technical submission, Juan Espino by technical decision, Jared Vanderaa by TKO, and Chase Sherman by keylock submission; while losing to Marcin Tybura by majority decision. Romanov has been a pro since 2016 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and nine by submission. He has 11 first round finishes.
Strikes landed per minute: Volkov 4.88 /Romanov 3.78
Striking Accuracy: Volkov 57% /Romanov 50%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Volkov 3.04/Romanov 1.86
Defense: Volkov 53% /Romanov 48%
Takedown average: Volkov 0.51 /Romanov 5.18
Takedown Accuracy: Volkov 70% /Romanov 62%
Takedowns defended: Volkov 71% /Romanov 20%
Submission average: Volkov 0.1 /Romanov 1.1
Volkov is a big fighter, as he stands 6’7” and he is about 250 pounds. He has a huge reach so opposing fighters have to find a way to get through his defense. Romanov is not as tall at 6’2” but he is about 260 pounds, so he won’t get pushed around. Volkov connects on more of his strikes so he does have the edge when the fight is standing. Romanov would have the edge if this fight goes to the mat, but getting Volkov on the mat is not going to be easy.
The UFC odds on this fight favor Volkov and I guess that makes sense, but it is hard to have a ton of confidence in a fighter who has lost 10 times in his career. If Volkov fights up to his ability he will probably win this fight, but you never know what you are going to get with Volkov. We also don’t know how Romanov is going to respond in this fight, as he is coming off the only defeat in his career. You would think he would be very focused and well prepared for this fight and he is definitely capable of winning the bout.
Taking him at plus money is at least worth considering.
I think the best choice in this fight is simply to play the rounds. There are a couple of round options at 1.5 and 2.5. These two have combined for 27 first round finishes. If you want to get the plus money on the rounds you could go under 1.5 rounds. I prefer to lay a little bit of money and take under 2.5 rounds. We get a little bit more margin, just in case the fight goes past the second round. I’ll go under the rounds total for this fight.
|DATE ||FIGHTERS ||MONEY LINE |
|3/11 ||Merab Dvalishvili ||+197 |
|Petr Yan ||-255 |
|3/11 ||Alexandr Romanov ||-155 |
|Alexander Volkov ||+124 |
|3/11 ||Austin Lingo ||+270 |
|Ricardo Ramos ||-365 |
|3/11 ||Jonathan Martinez ||+194 |
|Said Nurmagomedov ||-250 |
|3/11 ||Anton Turkalj ||-115 |
|Vitor Petrino ||-115 |
|3/11 ||Karl Williams ||-220 |
|Lukasz Brzeski ||+172 |
|3/11 ||Guido Cannetti ||+604 |
|Mario Bautista ||-1050 |
|3/11 ||Raphael Assuncao ||+105 |
|Davey Grant ||-135 |
|3/11 ||Ariane Lipski ||+270 |
|J J Aldrich ||-365 |
|3/11 ||Tony Gravely ||+115 |
|Victor Henry ||-145 |
|3/11 ||Bruno Silva ||-200 |
|Tyson Nam ||+158 |
|3/11 ||Josh Fremd ||+154 |
|Sedriques Dumas ||-195 |
|3/11 ||Ryan Spann ||+139 |
|Nikita Krylov ||-175 |
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