Jussier Formiga is favored against Brandon Moreno at UFC Fight Night 170 on Saturday, March 14 in Brasília, Brazil. This event is one of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Formiga is 23-6 in his career, while Moreno is 16-5-1 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night 170 with the headliner a bout between Kevin Lee and Charles Oliveira. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Formiga and Moreno and UFC predictions.
Jussier Formiga (23-6, 9-5 UFC)
Formiga came into the UFC with a record of 14-1 and he has nine wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has four wins and one loss. He defeated Ulka Sasaki by rear-naked choke submission, Ben Nguyen by technical submission, Sergio Pettis by unanimous decision, and Deiveson Figueiredo by unanimous decision; while losing to Joseph Benavidez by TKO. Formiga has been a pro since 2005 and he has 10 wins by submission. He has seven first round finishes.
Formiga said this to bloodyelbow.com about his upcoming fight against Moreno, “He’s a good, young guy. He’s a boxer, very explosive on the feet. He’s a good scrambler on the ground, he welcomes a grappling match. I think it has all the potential to be a great fight but I’m used to those challenges. I’ve been fighting tough competition in the UFC for almost 10 years. It won’t be different now, I welcome the challenges.”
Brandon Moreno (16-5-1, 4-2-1 UFC)
Moreno came into the UFC with a record of 11-3 and he has four wins, two losses, and one draw in the UFC. He defeated Louis Smolka by guillotine choke submission, Ryan Benoit by split decision, Dustin Ortiz by technical submission, and Kai Kara-France by unanimous decision; while losing to Sergio Pettis by unanimous decision and Alexandre Pantoja by unanimous decision and fighting to a draw against Askar Askarov. Moreno has been a pro since 2011 and he has two wins by TKO/KO and 10 by submission. He has seven first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Formiga 1.38/ Moreno 3.12
Striking Accuracy: Formiga 38% / Moreno 34%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Formiga 2.23/ Moreno 3.24
Defense: Formiga 65% / Moreno 63%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Formiga 1.95/ Moreno 2.02
Takedown Accuracy: Formiga 39% / Moreno 43%
Takedowns defended: Formiga 86% / Moreno 62%
Submission average: Formiga 0.6 / Moreno 0.6
UFC Predictions
We know that this fight is likely to end on the mat, as both are submission specialists. Formiga has better submission defense than does Moreno and I think he can find a way to end up on top in this match. I will lay the price and take Formiga and also play the rounds to go under the total.
UFC Fight Night 170 takes place at Ginásio Nilson Nelson in Brasília, Brazil on Saturday, March 14 with five fights on the main card on ESPN+, headlined by Kevin Lee vs. Charles Oliveira and seven preliminary bouts, all on ESPN+.
Main Card (ESPN+)
Lightweight - Kevin Lee -140 vs. Charles Oliveira
Welterweight - Gilbert Burns -210 vs. Demian Maia
Lightweight - Renato Moicano -330 vs. Damir Hadžovic
Light Heavyweight - Johnny Walker -145 vs. Nikita Krylov
Lightweight - Francisco Trinaldo -170 vs. John Makdessi
Preliminary card (ESPN+)
Flyweight - Jussier Formiga -180 vs. Brandon Moreno
Women's Strawweight - Amanda Ribas -325 vs. Randa Markos
Welterweight - Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -140 vs. Alexey Kunchenko
Bantamweight - Enrique Barzola -185 vs. Rani Yahya
Women's Flyweight - Mayra Bueno Silva -140 vs. Maryna Moroz
Flyweight - Gustavo da Silva -120 vs. David Dvorák
Women's Bantamweight - Veronica Macedo -180 vs. Bea Malecki
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