UFC Fight Night 170 Odds and Picks - Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Alexey Kunchenko

UFC Fight Night 170 Odds - dos Santos vs. Kunchenko

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is slightly favored against Alexey Kunchenko at UFC Fight Night 170 on Saturday, March 14 in Brasília, Brazil. This event is one of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Dos Santos is 21-6 in his career, while Kunchenko is 20-1 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night 170 with the headliner a bout between Kevin Lee and Charles Oliveira. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between dos Santos and Kunchenko and UFC picks.

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Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (21-6, 7-2 UFC)

Dos Santos came into the UFC with a record of 14-4 and he has seven wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Omari Akhmedov by TKO, Keita Nakamura by unanimous decision, Lyman Good by split decision, Max Griffin by unanimous decision, Sean Strickland by KO, Luigi Vendramini by KO, and Curtis Millender by rear-naked choke submission; while losing to Nicolas Dalby by split decision and Li Jingliang by TKO. Dos Santos has been a pro since 2009 and he has 14 wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.

Dos Santos said this to superlutas.com.br about his upcoming fight against Kunchenko, “He's an aggressive guy, who likes to move forward, he's a changer, he works more on his feet. He doesn't really like to put it down, but he has good takedowns, he has good takedown defense too. His boxing works very well. He's a guy who will definitely want to change, so he has everything to be a great fight.”

Alexey Kunchenko (20-1, 2-1 UFC)

Kunchenko came into the UFC with a record of 18-0 and he has two wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Thiago Alves by unanimous decision and Yushin Okami by unanimous decision; while losing to Gilbert Burns by unanimous decision. Kunchenko has been a pro since 2013 and he has 13 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has five first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Dos Santos 4.18/ Kunchenko 3.62
Striking Accuracy: Dos Santos 39% / Kunchenko 42%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Dos Santos 3.03/ Kunchenko 2.40
Defense: Dos Santos 61% / Kunchenko 65%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Dos Santos 0.45/ Kunchenko 0.33
Takedown Accuracy: Dos Santos 14% / Kunchenko 33%
Takedowns defended: Dos Santos 48% / Kunchenko 86%
Submission average: Dos Santos 0.6 / Kunchenko 0.0

UFC Picks

One thing we know about this fight is that we are going to get a lot of action. Dos Santos has 21 wins and 17 of those came by finish; 10 in the first round. Kunchenko has 20 wins and 14 of those were finishes, with five coming in the first round. I can’t see this fight going the distance, so I will play the rounds to go under the total.

UFC Fight Night 170 takes place at Ginásio Nilson Nelson in Brasília, Brazil on Saturday, March 14 with five fights on the main card on ESPN+, headlined by Kevin Lee vs. Charles Oliveira and seven preliminary bouts, all on ESPN+.

Main Card (ESPN+)

Lightweight - Kevin Lee -140 vs. Charles Oliveira
Welterweight - Gilbert Burns -210 vs. Demian Maia
Lightweight - Renato Moicano -303 vs. Damir Hadžovic
Light Heavyweight - Johnny Walker -155 vs. Nikita Krylov
Lightweight - Francisco Trinaldo -170 vs. John Makdessi

Preliminary card (ESPN+)

Flyweight - Jussier Formiga -180 vs. Brandon Moreno
Women's Strawweight - Amanda Ribas -315 vs. Randa Markos
Welterweight - Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -140 vs. Alexey Kunchenko
Bantamweight - Enrique Barzola -178 vs. Rani Yahya
Women's Flyweight - Mayra Bueno Silva -140 vs. Maryna Moroz
Flyweight - Gustavo da Silva -120 vs. David Dvorák
Women's Bantamweight - Veronica Macedo -192 vs. Bea Malecki

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