UFC Fight Night 164 Picks - Antonio Arroyo vs. Andre Muniz

UFC Fight Night 164 Picks - Antonio Arroyo vs. Andre Muniz

Andre Muniz is slightly favored against Antonio Arroyo at UFC Fight Night 164 on Saturday, November 16 in São Paulo, Brazil. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN+. Arroyo is 9-2 in his career, while Muniz is 18-4 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night 164, with the headliner a bout between Jan Blachowicz and Ronaldo Souza. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Arroyo and Muniz and UFC picks.

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Antonio Arroyo (9-2, UFC debut)

Arroyo will be making his UFC debut this Saturday. His last fight was on July 16, 2019 when he defeated Stephen Regman by arm-triangle choke submission. Arroyo has been a pro since 2014 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has seven first round finishes.

Arroyo said this to thebodylockmma.com about his upcoming fight against Muniz, “He’s a jiu-jitsu black belt but that’s the only concern. I have already made the arrangements in my gameplan to avoid that. I don’t have to exchange on the ground with him if I don’t have to. I don’t want to if I don’t have to, but if I have to, that’s okay, too. But I’m preparing to keep the fight standing where I’m more comfortable.”

Andre Muniz (18-4, UFC debut)

Muniz will be making his UFC debut this Saturday. His last fight was on August 6, 2019 where he defeated Taylor Johnson by rear-naked choke submission. Muniz has been a pro since 2009 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and 12 by submission. He has 12 first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Arroyo 3.87/ Muniz 2.98
Striking Accuracy: Arroyo 72% / Muniz 63%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Arroyo 2.13/ Muniz 1.67
Defense: Arroyo 41% / Muniz 52%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Arroyo 2.55/ Muniz 2.68
Takedown Accuracy: Arroyo 36% / Muniz 30%
Takedowns defended: Arroyo 0% / Muniz 40%
Submission average: Arroyo 0.6 / Muniz 0.9

UFC Picks

Arroyo and Muniz are making their UFC debuts and it makes some sense this is on the main card, as it will appeal to the fans in Brazil. Both fighters were in the Contender Series in Las Vegas last year and got wins and they both came back this year and came away with stoppage wins, so now they get the chance to impress on the big stage. Muniz is the younger fighter, but he also has more experience. Muniz is taking this fight on somewhat short notice, but I don’t think it matters. I lean toward Muniz in this bout and I also like the fight to go under the rounds total, as the two fighters have combined for 19 first round finishes.

UFC Fight Night 164 takes place at Ginásio do Ibirapuera in São Paulo, Brazil on Saturday November 16, with five fights on the main card on ESPN+ headlined by Jan Blachowicz vs. Ronaldo Souza and seven preliminary bouts, all on ESPN+.

Main Card (ESPN+)

Light Heavyweight - Jan Blachowicz -205 vs. Ronaldo Souza
Light Heavyweight - Maurício Rua -275 vs. Paul Craig
Lightweight - Charles Oliveira -370 vs. Jared Gordon
Middleweight - Andre Muniz -135 vs. Antonio Arroyo
Middleweight - Markus Perez -130 vs. Wellington Turman

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)
Welterweight - James Krause -220 vs. Sérgio Moraes
Featherweight - Ricardo Ramos -285 vs. Luiz Eduardo Garagorri
Lightweight - Francisco Trinaldo -125 vs. Bobby Green
Welterweight - Warlley Alves -120 vs. Randy Brown
Featherweight - Douglas Silva de Andrade -235 vs. Renan Barão
Women's Flyweight - Veronica Macedo -125 vs. Ariane Lipski
Women's Bantamweight - Tracy Cortez -190 vs. Vanessa Melo

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