UFC Fight Night 158 Picks - Todd Duffee vs. Jeff Hughes

UFC Fight Night 158 Picks - Todd Duffee vs. Jeff Hughes

Todd Duffee is going against Jeff Hughes at UFC Fight Night 158 on Saturday, September 14 in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN+. Duffee is 9-3 in his career, while Hughes is 10-2 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night 158, with the headliner a bout between Donald Cerrone and Justin Gaethje. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Duffee and Hughes and UFC picks.

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Todd Duffee (9-3, 3-2 UFC)

Duffee came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and he has three wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Tim Hague by KO, Philip De Fries by TKO, and Anthony Hamilton by KO; while losing to Mike Russow by KO and Frank Mir by KO. Duffee has been a pro since 2007 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO. He has eight first round finishes.

Duffee said this to ufc.com about his upcoming fight against Hughes, “I expect a war; I expect an absolute war. This guy is underrated, he’s very durable and he’s game. I expect a big fight. It’s going to be 15 minutes of intense heavyweight action.”

Jeff Hughes (10-2, 0-1 UFC)

Hughes came into the UFC with a record of 10-1 and he has no wins and one loss in the UFC. He lost to Maurice Greene by split decision on March 9, 2019. Hughes’s last win in his career was against Josh Appelt by KO on July 24, 2018. Hughes has been a pro since 2014 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and one by guillotine choke submission. He has five first round finishes.

Hughes said this to cagesidepress.com about his upcoming fight against Duffee, “There’s nothing in the world that gets your adrenaline up that high. He’s going to have to deal with all that. Maybe he’s comfortable in there, I don’t know. I hope he is. I want the best Todd Duffee that night. I want to beat the best Todd Duffee there is.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Duffee 5.58 / Hughes 6.02
Striking Accuracy: Duffee 35% / Hughes 53%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Duffee 2.61/ Hughes 3.91
Defense: Duffee 60% / Hughes 56%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Duffee 0.00/ Hughes 1.54
Takedown Accuracy: Duffee 0% / Hughes 50%
Takedowns defended: Duffee 90% / Hughes 100%
Submission average: Duffee 0.0 / Hughes 0.0

UFC Picks

Oddmakers don’t know what to make of this fight since they have marked it as even and I don’t know what to think either. Duffee has not fought in just over four years, so I don’t know how you can confidently take him in this fight, while Hughes has fought just once in the UFC and lost. I find it hard to believe that Duffee will be in top condition and ready for three full rounds, so one way or another this fight should end early. I will take the rounds to go under the total.
UFC Fight Night 159 takes place at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada on Saturday, September 14, with six fights on the main card on ESPN+ headlined by Donald Cerrone vs. Justin Gaethje and seven preliminary bouts on ESPN+.

Main Card (ESPN+)

Lightweight - Justin Gaethje -205 vs. Donald Cerrone
Light Heavyweight - Nikita Krylov -125 vs. Glover Teixeira
Heavyweight - Todd Duffee -115 vs. Jeff Hughes
Middleweight - Antônio Carlos Júnior -225 vs. Uriah Hall
Light Heavyweight - Jimmy Crute -124 vs. Misha Cirkunov
Welterweight - Michel Pereira vs. Tristan Connelly

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

Heavyweight - Marcin Tybura -120 vs. Augusto Sakai
Bantamweight - Miles Johns -135 vs. Cole Smith
Middleweight - Marvin Vettori -290 vs. Andrew Sanchez
Bantamweight - Brad Katona -170 vs. Hunter Azure
Featherweight - Jordan Griffin -135 vs. Chas Skelly
Bantamweight - Louis Smolka -210 vs. Ryan McDonald
Featherweight - Austin Hubbard -145 vs. Kyle Prepolec

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