UFC Fight Night 153 Picks - Tonya Evinger vs. Lina Lansberg

UFC Fight Night 153 Picks

Tonya Evinger is favored against Lina Lansberg at UFC Fight Night 153 on Saturday, June 1 in Stockholm, Sweden. This event is one of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN2. Evinger is 19-7 in her career, while Lansberg is 8-4. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night 153, with the headliner a bout between Alexander Gustafsson and Anthony Smith. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN2. Let’s look at the bout between Evinger and Lansberg and UFC picks.

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Tonya Evinger (19-7, 0-2 UFC)

Evinger came into the UFC with a record of 19-5 and she has no wins and two losses in the UFC. She lost to Cris Cyborg by TKO and Aspen Ladd by TKO. Evinger’s last win was against Yana Kunitskaya by rear-naked choke submission on March 25, 2017. Evinger has been a pro since 2006 and she has eight wins by TKO/KO and seven by submission. She has seven first round finishes.

Evinger said this to thebodylockmma.com about her upcoming fight this Saturday, “It’s just another fight and another day at work. I plan on going in there, getting in a fight, and [coming] home with the ‘W’ and [getting] right back on track. I feel like I was at the top of my game before this injury, so I don’t want that to be the changing factor for my career in any way. I think I just need to jump back in there, do what I do, and hit it hard.”

Evinger also said this to sherdog.com. “I can definitely adapt. People know how I fight, and they know how I fight. I'm not orthodox, my style is really weird. I don't need to force things, if they worked on getting up, etc., then I can tell that and then I just stand up. I'm good at figuring out where I need to win the fight. That is what has been successful for me.”

Lina Lansberg (8-4, 2-3 UFC)

Lansberg came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and she has two wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Lucie Pudilová by unanimous decision and Gina Mazany by unanimous decision; while losing to Cris Cyborg by TKO, Aspen Ladd by TKO, and Yana Kunitskaya by unanimous decision. Lansberg has been a pro since 2012 and she has four wins by TKO/KO. She has two first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Evinger 1.50/ Lansberg 3.63
Accuracy: Evinger 41% / Lansberg 55%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Evinger 4.33/ Lansberg 5.31
Defense: Evinger 41% / Lansberg 46%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Evinger 0.90/ Lansberg 0.50
Accuracy: Evinger 33% / Lansberg 22%
Takedowns defended: Evinger 28% / Lansberg 33%
Submission average: Evinger 1.4/ Lansberg 0.2

UFC Picks

Evinger is facing a lot of pressure in this fight considering that if she doesn’t win her UFC contract could be terminated. Lansberg has won two UFC fights but she inspires no confidence. Oddmakers have Evinger favored in this fight at -265 and that should tell you something. I definitely lean toward Evinger in this fight, but I am not thrilled about laying almost 3-1. Almost all of Evinger’s fights end in a finish, so we’ll look to get plus money on the rounds and go under the total.

Main Card (ESPN+)

Light Heavyweight - Alexander Gustafsson -315 vs. Anthony Smith
Light Heavyweight - Volkan Oezdemir -125 vs. Ilir Latifi
Light Heavyweight - Aleksandar Rakic -223 vs. Jimi Manuwa
Featherweight - Chris Fishgold -125 vs. Makwan Amirkhani
Lightweight - Damir Hadžovic -180 vs. Christos Giagos
Featherweight - Sung Bin Jo -155 vs. Daniel Teymur

Preliminary Card (ESPN2)

Women's Bantamweight - Tonya Evinger -265 vs. Lina Länsberg
Lightweight - Leonardo Santos -230 vs. Stevie Ray
Lightweight - Nick Hein -120 vs. Frank Camacho
Women's Featherweight - Bea Malecki -115 vs. Eduarda Santana
Light Heavyweight - Devin Clark -120 vs. Darko Stošic
Lightweight - Joel Alvarez -125 vs. Danilo Belluardo
Welterweight - Sergey Khandozhko -165 vs. Rostem Akman

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