UFC Fight Night 138 - Villante vs. Herman Predictions

Gian Villante is a solid favorite over Ed Herman at UFC Fight Night 138 on Saturday night in Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada. This event is one of six fights on the main card on FS1. Villante is 16-10 in his career, while Herman is 23-13 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on FS1, with the headliner a bout between Volkan Oezdemir and Anthony Smith. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on FS1and three on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Villante and Herman and UFC picks.

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Gian Villante (16-10, 6-7 UFC)

Villante came into the UFC with a record of 10-3 and he has six wins and seven losses in the UFC. In his last four fights, he has struggled somewhat, as he has just one win and three losses. He defeated Francimar Barroso by split decision while losing to Maurício Rua by TKO, Patrick Cummins by split decision and Sam Alvey by split decision. Villante has been a pro since 2009 and has 10 wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has eight first round finishes.

Ed Herman (23-13, 10-9 UFC)

Herman came into the UFC with a record of 13-3 and he has 10 wins and nine losses in the UFC. In his last four fights, he has had a lot of trouble with just one win and three losses. He defeated Tim Boetsch by TKO while losing to Derek Brunson by TKO, Nikita Krylov by KO, and C.B. Dollaway by unanimous decision. Herman has been a pro since 2003 and has six wins by TKO/KO and 13 by submission. He has nine first round finishes.

Herman said this to cagesidepress.com about his upcoming against Villante, “He’s not like super technical or really good anywhere. He’s pretty tough all the way around, but he’s not like a super grappler or a super striker. He’s a big puncher, that’s probably his best asset; he can win with the knockout at any time with that power. I think with my pace, that I’ll break him. Either I’m going to knock him out, or I’ll choke him out.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Villante 4.15/ Herman 2.98

Accuracy: Villante 43% / Herman 51%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Villante 5.29/ Herman 2.86

Defense: Villante 55% / Herman 40%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Villante 0.58/ Herman 2.60

Accuracy: Villante 24% / Herman 52%

Takedowns defended: Villante 82% / Herman 60%

Submission average: Villante 0.0 / Herman 1.4

UFC Picks

This is a matchup between two struggling fighters and yet Villante is more than a 2-1 favorite. I think there is value on Herman. He has not fought since July of 2017, but he finally looks healthy. I think there is value on Herman at plus money. Also, the total is worth a strong look. The combined first round finishes of Villante and Herman are 17, so I also will take the rounds to go under the total.

UFC Fight Night 138 takes place at Avenir Centre in Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada on Saturday, October 27. There are six fights on the main card on FS1, headlined by the bout between Volkan Oezdemir and Anthony Smith and seven preliminary bouts, with four on FS1 and three on UFC Fight Pass.

Main Card (FS1)

Light Heavyweight - Volkan Oezdemir -194 vs. Anthony Smith

Featherweight - Michael Johnson -625 vs. Artem Lobov

Light Heavyweight - Misha Cirkunov -465 vs. Patrick Cummins

Bantamweight - Andre Soukhamthath -220 vs. Jonathan Martinez

Light Heavyweight - Gian Villante -255 vs. Ed Herman

Welterweight - Alex Garcia -190 vs. Court McGee

Preliminary Card (FS1)

Welterweight - Nordine Taleb -115 vs. Sean Strickland

Lightweight - Nasrat Haqparast -900 vs. Thibault Gouti

Featherweight - Calvin Kattar -275 vs. Chris Fishgold

Women's Bantamweight - Sarah Moras -205 vs. Talita Bernardo

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Lightweight - Te'Jovan Edwards -500 vs. Don Madge

Heavyweight - Arjan Bhullar -215 vs. Marcelo Golm

Lightweight - Stevie Ray -165 vs. Jessin Ayari

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UFC Fight Night 138 Odds

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