Nasrat Haqparast is a huge favorite over Thibault Gouti at UFC Fight Night 138 on Saturday night in Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada. This event is one of four on the FS1 portion of the preliminary card. Gouti is 12-4 in his career, while Haqparast is 9-2 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on FS1, with the headliner a bout between Volkan Oezdemir and Anthony Smith. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on FS1and three on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Gouti and Haqparast and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night 138 Betting at BookMaker.eu
Thibault Gouti (12-4, 1-4 UFC)
Gouti came into the UFC with a record of 11-0 but not much has gone right in the UFC for him, as he as one win and four losses. He defeated Andrew Holbrook by TKO; while losing to Teemu Packalén by submission, Olivier Aubin-Mercier by submission, Chad Laprise by TKO, and Sage Northcutt by unanimous decision. Gouti has been a pro since 2011 and has four wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. Of his six wins by submission, one was by anaconda, four by RNC and one by triangle. He has eight first round finishes.
Nasrat Haqparast (9-2, 1-1 UFC)
Haqparast came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has one win and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Marc Diakiese by unanimous decision; while losing to Marcin Held by unanimous decision. His only other loss in his career was in his MMA debut against Adrian Ruf by submission in December of 2012. Haqparast has been a pro since 2012 and has eight wins by TKO/KO. He has six first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Gouti 3.01/ Haqparast 4.00
Accuracy: Gouti 42% / Haqparast 43%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Gouti 4.48/ Haqparast 2.30
Defense: Gouti 49% / Haqparast 77%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Gouti 1.77/ Haqparast 0.50
Accuracy: Gouti 80% / Haqparast 33%
Takedowns defended: Gouti 82% / Haqparast 78%
Submission average: Gouti 0.4 / Haqparast 0.0
UFC Predictions
Haqparast has only fought in the UFC twice and yet he is getting a lot of press. He has improved and he looked really good in the win over Marc Diakiese in July. Gouti is a decent striker but he doesn’t do much else and he has done next to nothing in the UFC. If Gouti doesn’t turn the corner soon he will probably be out of the UFC. The price on Haqparast is very high, but it is hard to make any case for Gouti in this fight. I think the best option is to look at some of the props and the total. I will look for a first round win for Haqparast and also go under the rounds total.
UFC Fight Night 138 takes place at Avenir Centre in Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada on Saturday, October 27. There are six fights on the main card on FS1, headlined by the bout betweenVolkan Oezdemir and Anthony Smith and seven preliminary bouts, with four on FS1 and three on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (FS1)
Light Heavyweight - Volkan Oezdemir -166 vs. Anthony Smith
Featherweight - Michael Johnson -625 vs. Artem Lobov
Light Heavyweight - Misha Cirkunov -465 vs. Patrick Cummins
Bantamweight - Andre Soukhamthath -180 vs. Jonathan Martinez
Light Heavyweight - Gian Villante -255 vs. Ed Herman
Welterweight - Alex Garcia -190 vs. Court McGee
Preliminary Card (FS1)
Welterweight - Nordine Taleb -115 vs. Sean Strickland
Lightweight - Nasrat Haqparast -900 vs. Thibault Gouti
Featherweight - Calvin Kattar -275 vs. Chris Fishgold
Women's Bantamweight - Sarah Moras -175 vs. Talita Bernardo
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Lightweight - Te'Jovan Edwards -550 vs. Don Madge
Heavyweight - Arjan Bhullar -195 vs. Marcelo Golm
Lightweight - Stevie Ray -165 vs. Jessin Ayari
UFC Fight Night 138 Odds
Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker Sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.
