Warlley Alves is a solid favorite over James Krause at UFC Fight Night 135 on Saturday night in Lincoln, Nebraska. This event is one of four on the FS2 portion of the preliminary card. Krause is 25-7 in his career, while Alves is 12-2 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on FS1, with the headliner a bout between Justin Gaethje and James Vick. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on FS2 and three on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Krause and Alves and UFC predictions.
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James Krause (25-7, 6-3 UFC)
Krause came into the UFC with a record of 19-4 and he has six wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Sam Stout by submission, Jamie Varner by TKO, Daron Cruickshank by submission, Shane Campbell by unanimous decision, Tom Gallicchio by unanimous decision, and Alex White by unanimous decision; while losing to Bobby Green by TKO, Jorge Masvidal by unanimous decision, and Valmir Lázaro by split decision. Krause has been a pro since 2007 and has six wins by TKO/KO and 14 by submission. He has 16 first round finishes.
Krause said this to fightful.com about his upcoming fight against Alves, “I really wasn’t stoked about it to be honest with you, he’s a really tough opponent…he doesn’t have a huge name. It was okay, I was indifferent on it. I think that after watching it, I think it’s a fight that I can obviously (win). So, I think it’s a really good matchup for me stylistically; I’m jumping up to 170 for well…not the first time. I was at 55 for my last fight; I’m really excited to be at 170.”
Warlley Alves (12-2, 6-2 UFC)
Alves came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he has six wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Márcio Alexandre Jr. by technical submission, Alan Jouban by unanimous decision, Nordine Taleb by submission, Colby Covington by submission, Salim Touahri by unanimous decision, and Sultan Aliev by TKO; while losing to Bryan Barberena by unanimous decision and Kamaru Usman by unanimous decision. Alves has been a pro since 2011 and has two wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Krause 4.36 / Alves 2.81
Accuracy: Krause 46% / Alves 47%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Krause 4.18/ Alves 3.78
Defense: Krause 62% / Alves 50%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Krause 1.25 / Alves 1.15
Accuracy: Krause 19% / Alves 41%
Takedowns defended: Krause 48% / Alves 72%
Submission average: Krause 0.8 / Alves 1.0
UFC Fight Night 135 Predictions
Oddmakers have Alves as a big favorite at -390 and that may be too high. I am tempted to take Krause as the big underdog, but I think the better choice is the rounds. The combined first round finishes of Krause and Alves are 22, so I will take the rounds to go under the total.
UFC Fight Night 135 takes place on Saturday, August 25, 2018 at the Pinnacle Bank Arena in Lincoln, Nebraska. The main card has six fights on FS1, featuring Justin Gaethje taking on James Vick. There are seven fights on the preliminary card with four on FS2 and three on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (FS1)
Lightweight – James Vick -154 vs. Justin Gaethje
Featherweight – Michael Johnson -115 vs. Andre Fili
Women’s Strawweight – Angela Hill -135 vs. Cortney Casey
Welterweight – Bryan Barberena -450 vs. Jake Ellenberger
Flyweight – Deiveson Figueiredo -160 vs. John Moraga
Middleweight – Eryk Anders -1000 vs. Tim Williams
Preliminary Card (FS2)
Welterweight - Warlley Alves -390 vs. James Krause
Bantamweight - Cory Sandhagen -260 vs. Iuri Alcântara
Middleweight – Andrew Sanchez -130 vs. Markus Perez
Welterweight – Mickey Gall -335 vs. George Sullivan
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Women’s Flyweight – Joanne Calderwood -170 vs. Kalindra Faria
Lightweight – Drew Dober -200 vs. Jon Tuck
Bantamweight – Rani Yahya – 125 vs. Luke Sanders
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