UFC Fight Night 130 Picks - Arnold Allen vs. Mads Burnell

Arnold-Allen-vs-Mads-Burnell-5-24-18-bm

Arnold Allen is a solid favorite against Mads Burnell at UFC Fight Night 130 on Sunday in Liverpool, England. This event is one of six fights on the FS1 portion of the main card. Allen is 12-1 in his career, while Burnell is 9-2 in his career. There are total of six fights on the main card at UFC Fight Night 130, with the headliner a bout between Stephen Thompson and Darren Till. There are also a total of six fights on the preliminary card with four on FS1 and two on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Allen and Burnell and UFC picks.

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Arnold Allen (12-1, 3-0 UFC)
Allen came into the UFC with a record of 9-1 and defeated Alan Omer by submission, Yaotzin Meza by unanimous decision, and Makwan Amirkhani by split decision. Allen’s only loss was back in June of 2014 against Marcin Wrzosek by unanimous decision at CWFC 69. Allen has been a pro since 2012 and has five wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He is on a five-fight winning streak and has three first round finishes.

Allen said this to thesun.co.uk about his upcoming fight with Burnell, "He’s a tough guy, and he’s a specialist. I’m confident he’s going to want to get me down to the ground and use his black belt. He’s young and coming to win. He’s going to be a good challenge. I mean it can go one of two ways - it can be the same as my last fight - scrappy, scrambles sort of rolling but if I do everything I want to do it’ll be clean. But I predict that I’m going to be victorious in a dominant manner.”

Mads Burnell (9-2, 1-1 UFC)
Burnell came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and has one win and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Mike Santiago by unanimous decision while losing to Michel Burnell by submission. His other loss was against Ott Tonissaar by TKO in Octagon Athletes in November of 2015. Burnell has been a pro since 2013 and has five wins by submission. He has won four of his last five fights and has five first round finishes.

Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Allen 2.06 / Burnell 1.13
Accuracy: Allen 34% / Burnell 46%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Allen 1.85/ Burnell 2.91
Defense: Allen 55% / Burnell 39%

Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Allen 2.88/ Burnell 1.70
Accuracy: Allen 57% / Burnell 42%
Takedowns defended: Allen 75% / Burnell 22%
Submission average: Allen 0.7/ Burnell 0.6

UFC Picks
Burnell has not had much success in the UFC with one and one loss and is definitely looking for a win in this coming fight. Allen is undefeated in the UFC and is a -270 favorite over Burnell. The price is high, but I think Allen stays unbeaten. Neither of these two has been great at finishing in their careers, with the combined total of first round finishes at eight, so I will also take the rounds to go over the total.
UFC Fight Night 130 takes place on Sunday, May 27, 2018 at the Echo Arena in Liverpool, England, featuring Stephen Thompson vs. Darren Till. There are six fights on the main card on FS1 and six on the preliminary card, with four on FS1 and two on UFC Fight Pass.

Main Card (FS1)
Welterweight - Darren Till -117 vs. Stephen Thompson
Welterweight - Neil Magny -518 vs. Craig White
Featherweight - Arnold Allen -270 vs. Mads Burnell
Featherweight - Jason Knight -150 vs. Makwan Amirkhani
Bantamweight - Manny Bermudez -230 vs. Davey Grant
Middleweight - Eric Spicely -202 vs. Darren Stewart

Preliminary Card (FS1)
Welterweight - Nordine Taleb -314 vs. Claudio Silva
Middleweight - Tom Breese -299 vs. Dan Kelly
Welterweight - Carlo Pedersoli Jr. -185 vs. Brad Scott
Women’s Flyweight - Molly McCann -245 vs. Gillian Robertson

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Middleweight - Elias Theodorou -391 vs. Trevor Smith
Women’s Bantamweight - Lina Lansberg -124 vs. Gina Mazany

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