UFC 301: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Odds

UFC 301: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Betting

Alexandre Pantoja is favored against Steve Erceg at UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg on Saturday, May 4 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Pantoja is 27-5 in his career, while Erceg is 12-1 in his career. There are a total of 14 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View and nine on ESPN2/ESPN+ at UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg. Let’s look at the bout between Pantoja and Erceg and UFC predictions.

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg takes place at Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on Saturday, May 4 with 14 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View and nine on ESPN2/ESPN+.

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Betting

Alexandre Pantoja (27-5, 11-3 UFC)

Pantoja came into the UFC with a record of 16-2 and he has l1 wins and three losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Manel Kape by unanimous decision, Brandon Royval by rear-naked choke submission, Alex Perez by neck crank submission, Brandon Moreno by split decision, and Brandon Royval by unanimous decision; while losing to Askar Askarov by unanimous decision. Pantoja has been a pro since 2007 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and 10 by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.

Steve Erceg (12-1, 3-0 UFC)

Erceg came into the UFC with a record of 9-1 and he has three wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated David Dvorák by unanimous decision, Alessandro Costa by unanimous decision, and Matt Schnell by KO. Erceg’s only loss in his career was against Sean Gauci by unanimous decision in September of 2017. Erceg has been a pro since 2016 and he has two wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has five first round finishes.

Erceg said this to sportskeeda.com about his upcoming fight against Pantoja, “He really embodies determination, that sort of thing. He's walking forward, doesn't matter how tired he gets, he's going to keep pushing. But I do think, technically, he's lacking in some areas and I'm going to exploit those areas to the best of my ability and come away as the new champion.”

Erceg also said this to bloodyelbow.com about his upcoming fight against Pantoja, “I think the biggest (thing to be wary of) is how mentally strong he is, he’s going to keep coming forward, doesn’t matter if he gets tired, doesn’t matter what’s happening in the fight, he’s looking for a way to win at all times, that’s a dangerous guy. He’s a world champion for a reason, I’m not going to be able to put him out of there easily, so I’m going to be trying to break him down and looking for ways to get him out of there, but at the end of the day it’s going to be a tough fight and I’m willing to go to pretty dark and bad places and I know he is, so it’s going to be fun.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Pantoja 4.32 / Erceg 4.57

Striking Accuracy: Pantoja 49% / Erceg 48%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Pantoja 3.90 / Erceg 3.64

Defense: Pantoja 50% / Erceg 55%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Pantoja 2.20/ Erceg 1.69

Takedown Accuracy: Pantoja 48% / Erceg 30%

Takedowns defended: Pantoja 67% / Erceg 77%

Submission average: Pantoja 1.0/ Erceg 0.8

UFC Picks

Pantoja is the UFC flyweight champion and already one of the best the division has ever seen. He has the third-most wins in UFC flyweight history and is third with the most finishes. Pantoja can simply do it all, as he is an excellent striker and his submission game is strong. Erceg is getting a quick shot at the title, as he only has three UFC fights. Erceg is also well rounded, as he lands 4.57 strikes per minute and he has shown very good takedown defense.

Maybe Erceg is good enough to be in the same conversation as Pantoja but he will have to prove it. We know that Pantoja is an excellent fighter and by far the best Erceg has faced. I’ll lay the price and take Pantoja to get the win.

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Card & Odds

05/04 Steve Erceg +150
Alexandre Pantoja -190
05/04 Jose Aldo +131
Jonathan Martinez -165
05/04 Vitor Petrino -550
Anthony Smith +379
05/04 Caio Borralho -550
Paul Craig +379
05/04 Joanderson Brito -170
Jack Shore +135
05/04 Iasmin Lucindo -430
Karolina Kowalkiewicz +310
05/04 Myktybek Orolbai -275
Elves Brener +211
05/04 William Gomis +116
Jean Silva -146
05/04 Joaquim Silva +135
Drakkar Klose -170
05/04 Jamie Mullarkey +140
Mauricio Ruffy -176
05/04 Ernesta Kareckaite +168
Dione Barbosa -215
05/04 Vinc Pichel +362
Ismael Bonfim -520
05/04 Kevin Borjas +110
Alessandro Costa -140
05/04 Ihor Potieria +405
Michel Pereira -600

Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker Sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props, and money lines are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.

Check out the latest odds at BookMaker

Back to Top