Zhang Weili is heavily favored against Yan Xiaonan at UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill on Saturday, April 13 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Weili is 24-3 in her career, while Xiaonan is 17-3 in her career. There are a total of 13 fights, five on Pay-Per-View and eight on ESPN/ESPN+ at UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill. Let’s look at the bout between Weili and Xiaonan and UFC predictions.
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, April 13 with 13 fights, five on Pay-Per-View and eight on ESPN/ESPN+.
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Betting
Zhang Weili (24-3, 8-2 UFC)
Weili came into the UFC with a record of 16-1 and she has eight wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Danielle Taylor by unanimous decision, Jessica Aguilar by armbar submission, Tecia Torres by unanimous decision, Jessica Andrade by TKO, Joanna Jedrzejczyk twice with once by split decision and once by KO, Carla Esparza by rear-naked choke submission, and Amanda Lemos by unanimous decision; while losing to Rose Namajunas twice with once by KO and once by split decision. Weili has been a pro since 2013 and she has 11 wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. She has 11 first round finishes.
Yan Xiaonan (17-3, 8-2 UFC)
Xiaonan came into the UFC with a record of 9-1 and she has eight wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Kailin Curran by unanimous decision, Viviane Pereira by unanimous decision, Syuri Kondo by unanimous decision, Angela Hill by unanimous decision, Karolina Kowalkiewicz by unanimous decision, Cláudia Gadelha by unanimous decision, Mackenzie Dern by majority decision, and Jessica Andrade by KO; while losing to Carla Esparza by TKO and Marina Rodriguez by split decision. Xiaonan has been a pro since 2008 and she has eight wins by TKO/KO and nine by decision. She has seven first round finishes.
Xiaonan said this to ufc.com about her upcoming fight against Weili, “I think my skill set is fast, in-and-out. My striking will give me some advantage. Zhang Weili is a more completed fighter. She has good striking, good wrestling, and good jiu-jitsu. She is better-rounded. I was really happy when I found out that I can be on the UFC 300 card. This is a very important moment in my life. It's an opportunity I've worked so hard for in MMA. I'm fighting for a title at a big event like UFC 300. It's a big moment for me. I'm often on the underdog side. I think everything is a challenge. I need to be ready.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Weili 5.94/ Xiaonan 5.55
Striking Accuracy: Weili 51% / Xiaonan 44%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Weili 3.44 / Xiaonan 3.56
Defense: Weili 53% / Xiaonan 61%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Weili 2.29/ Xiaonan 0.86
Takedown Accuracy: Weili 42% / Xiaonan 66%
Takedowns defended: Weili 66% / Xiaonan 70%
Submission average: Weili 0.4/ Xiaonan 0.0
UFC Picks
Weili is among the best women to ever fight in the UFC, as she is 8-2 in the UFC and the current strawweight champion. Xiaonan has been good, but it is questionable as to whether she is at the same level of Weili. Xiaonan lost to Carla Esparaza who Weili beat. How much credit we give Xaionan last time out for her win against the overrated Jessica Andrade is also questionable.
I think Weili wins this fight but the price at more than 4-1 in UFC odds makes this a no play for me in terms of the regular odds. I don’t see any value in taking Xiaonan, as I just can’t see a path for her to win this fight. The only option would be to take Weili to win by finish or to play the rounds. I think there might be a little value on Weili to win by finish, so that would be the way I lean in this fight.
| DATE |
FIGHTERS |
MONEY LINE |
| 04/13 |
Jamahal Hill |
+102 |
| Alex Pereira |
-132 |
| 04/13 |
Xiaonan Yan |
+343 |
| Weili Zhang |
-485 |
| 04/13 |
Max Holloway |
+139 |
| Justin Gaethje |
-175 |
| 04/13 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
-230 |
| Charles Oliveira |
+179 |
| 04/13 |
Cody Brundage |
+915 |
| Bo Nickal |
-2200 |
| 04/13 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
-125 |
| Jiri Prochazka |
-105 |
| 04/13 |
Aljamain Sterling |
-170 |
| Calvin Kattar |
+135 |
| 04/13 |
Kayla Harrison |
-435 |
| Holly Holm |
+313 |
| 04/13 |
Diego Lopes |
-142 |
| Sodiq Yusuff |
+112 |
| 04/13 |
Renato Moicano |
+186 |
| Jalin Turner |
-240 |
| 04/13 |
Marina Rodriguez |
+110 |
| Jessica Andrade |
-140 |
| 04/13 |
Jim Miller |
+139 |
| Bobby Green |
-175 |
| 04/13 |
Cody Garbrandt |
+231 |
| Deiveson Figueiredo |
-305 |
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