Israel Adesanya is heavily favored against Sean Strickland at UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland on Sunday, September 10 in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia but because of the time difference, it will start on Saturday, September 9 Eastern Time. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Adesanya is 24-2 in his career, while Strickland is 27-5 in his career. There are a total of 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland. Let’s look at the bout between Adesanya and Strickland and UFC predictions.
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland takes place at the Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia on Sunday, September 10 but because of the time difference, it will start on Saturday, September 9 Eastern Time with 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland Betting
Israel Adesanya (24-2, 13-2 UFC)
Adesanya came into the UFC with a record of 11-0 and he has 13 wins and two losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Marvin Vettori by unanimous decision, Robert Whittaker by unanimous decision, Jared Cannonier by unanimous decision, and Alex Pereira by KO; while losing to Jan Blachowicz by unanimous decision and Alex Pereira by TKO. Adesanya has been a pro since 2012 and he has 16 wins by TKO/KO and eight by decision. He has seven first round finishes.
Adesanya said this to lowkickmma.com about his upcoming fight against Strickland, “Threat meter, (Sean) Strickland?” To be honest, skills wise, I’ll give him a three. But a man with nothing to lose and everything to gain is a dangerous man. So that’s why I take him seriously and that’s why I’ve put the work in this camp. I’ve been grinding. Even right now, I’m a little bit tired. But I say skills-wise, [we’re] not even close… I’m going to show him that I’m the dangerous man.”
Sean Strickland (27-5, 14-5 UFC)
Strickland came into the UFC with a record of 13-0 and he has 14 wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Uriah Hall by unanimous decision, Jack Hermansson by split decision, Nassourdine Imavov by unanimous decision, and Abusupiyan Magomedov by TKO; while losing to Alex Pereira by KO and Jared Cannonier by split decision. Strickland has been a pro since 2008 and he has 11 wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has nine first round finishes.
Strikes landed per minute: Adesanya 3.94 / Strickland 5.86
Striking Accuracy: Adesanya 49% / Strickland 41%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Adesanya 2.88 / Strickland 4.28
Defense: Adesanya 57% / Strickland 62%
Takedown average: Adesanya 0.06 / Strickland 1.00
Takedown Accuracy: Adesanya 14% / Strickland 64%
Takedowns defended: Adesanya 77% / Strickland 84%
Submission average: Adesanya 0.2/ Strickland 0.2
Is there really any doubt as to who should win this fight? Adesanya is the superior fighter and it makes sense he is a big favorite in this fight. I think Adesanya will win, but I am not laying 6-1 on anyone. I don’t see any realistic path of victory for Strickland and I am not laying the price on Adesanya, so that means looking at the rounds and props. Neither of these two fighters has great finishing power so the most likely scenario has this one going the distance. Before the last two fights against Pereira that ended in knockout, Adesanya had won five of his last seven by decision. Strickland had gone to a decision in five of his last seven fights. The price on the rounds at 4.5 is basically a pick, so oddsmakers think this one has a chance to go the distance. I’ll play the rounds to go under the total.
|DATE ||FIGHTERS ||MONEY LINE |
|9/10 ||Sean Strickland ||+431 |
|Israel Adesanya ||-650 |
|9/10 ||Tai Tuivasa ||+194 |
|Alexander Volkov ||-250 |
|9/10 ||Austen Lane ||+165 |
|Justin Tafa ||-210 |
|9/10 ||Anton Turkalj ||-116 |
|Tyson Pedro ||-114 |
|9/10 ||Felipe dos Santos ||+277 |
|Manel Kape ||-375 |
|9/10 ||Da Woon Jung ||+201 |
|Carlos Ulberg ||-260 |
|9/10 ||Chepe Mariscal ||+172 |
|Jack Jenkins ||-220 |
|9/10 ||John Makdessi ||+207 |
|Jamie Mullarkey ||-270 |
|9/10 ||Blood Diamond ||+238 |
|Charlie Radtke ||-315 |
|9/10 ||Shane Young ||-180 |
|Gabriel Miranda ||+143 |
|9/10 ||Landon Quinones ||+328 |
|Nasrat Haqparast ||-460 |
|9/10 ||Kevin Jousset ||-155 |
|Kiefer Crosbie ||+124 |
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