Israel Adesanya is favored against Alex Pereira at UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira on Saturday, November 12 in New York City, New York. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Adesanya is 23-1 in his career, while Pereira is 6-1 in his career. There are a total of 14 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPNews/ ESPN+, and five on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira. Let’s look at the bout between Adesanya and Pereira and UFC predictions.
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira takes place at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York on Saturday, November 12 with 14 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPNews/ ESPN+, and five on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Betting
Israel Adesanya (23-1, 12-1 UFC)
Adesanya came into the UFC with a record of 11-0 and he has 12 wins and one loss in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Yoel Romero by unanimous decision, Paulo Costa by TKO, Marvin Vettori by unanimous decision, Robert Whittaker by unanimous decision, and Jared Cannonier by unanimous decision; while losing to Jan Blachowicz by unanimous decision. Adesanya has been a pro since 2012 and he has 15 wins by TKO/KO and eight by decision. He has seven first round finishes.
Alex Pereira (6-1, 3-0 UFC)
Pereira came into the UFC with a record of 3-1 and he has three wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Andreas Michailidis by TKO, Bruno Silva by unanimous decision, and Sean Strickland by KO. Pereira’s only loss in his career was against Quemuel Ottoni by rear-naked choke submission in October of 2015. Pereira has been a pro since 2015 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and one by decision. He has three first round finishes.
Pereira said this to mmafighting.com about his upcoming fight against Adesanya, “He knows I’m not like the other guys he fought, otherwise the results would have been different in both times we fought. He knows I’m different, and I’m proving that. I’m showing that in my three UFC fights. I’m being honest here. He doesn’t want this fight. Nobody wants. His team doesn’t want it. People close to him don’t want it because they know the risk. Is he good? Is he the champion? He’s there because he did what he did. Everybody knows my potential and sees my evolution. Right after I got in the UFC he said he would like to fight me maybe after four fights but ‘calm down’. He wanted [to fight me], but only after I did four fights. Why? He had in his mind I could lose to someone and he would say, ‘Is that the guy you want me to fight?’ I never believed that, but some people did. Others realize now he was bluffing. That’s not what he wants.”
Strikes landed per minute: Adesanya 3.93 / Pereira 6.29
Striking Accuracy: Adesanya 49% / Pereira 60%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Adesanya 2.67 / Pereira 3.36
Defense: Adesanya 59% / Pereira 58%
Takedown average: Adesanya 0.00 / Pereira 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Adesanya 0% / Pereira 0%
Takedowns defended: Adesanya 78% / Pereira 73%
Submission average: Adesanya 0.2 / Pereira 0.0
Is Pereira really good enough to beat Adesanya? That is the question we have to answer in this fight. The answer may very well be yes. We know that Pereira has already beaten Adesanya in kickboxing, and he may have what it takes to hand Adesanya his second UFC loss. What has me looking at the underdog is the price. You would think that Adesanya would be a big favorite against a fighter who is in just his fourth UFC fight but that is not the case. Adesanya is favored, but at odds of just under 2-1. Pereira is very confident in his abilities and that he has the answer for Adesanya. He very well may have, and at odds of almost 2-1, I have to take a shot on Pereira. I will also hedge a bit and take this fight to go over the rounds total.
|DATE ||FIGHTERS ||MONEY LINE |
|11/12 ||Alex Pereira ||+150 |
|Israel Adesanya ||-190 |
|11/12 ||Weili Zhang ||-350 |
|Carla Esparza ||+261 |
|11/12 ||Michael Chandler ||+176 |
|Dustin Poirier ||-225 |
|11/12 ||Frankie Edgar ||+176 |
|Chris Gutierrez ||-225 |
|11/12 ||Claudio Puelles ||+127 |
|Dan Hooker ||-160 |
|11/12 ||Brad Riddell ||-110 |
|Renato Moicano ||-120 |
|11/12 ||Ryan Spann ||+165 |
|Dominick Reyes ||-210 |
|11/12 ||Erin Blanchfield ||-420 |
|Molly McCann ||+304 |
|11/12 ||Wellington Turman ||+165 |
|Andre Petroski ||-210 |
|11/12 ||Karolina Kowalkiewicz ||-120 |
|Silvana Gomez Juarez ||-110 |
|11/12 ||Mike Trizano ||+127 |
|Seung Woo Choi ||-160 |
|11/12 ||Matt Frevola ||-110 |
|Ottman Azaitar ||-120 |
|11/12 ||Julio Arce ||+158 |
|Montel Jackson ||-200 |
|11/12 ||Carlos Ulberg ||-120 |
|Nicolae Negumereanu ||-110 |
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