Jose Aldo is slightly favored against Pedro Munhoz at UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane on Saturday, August 7 in Houston, Texas. This event is one of five fights on the pay-per-view main card. Aldo is 29-7 in his career, while Munhoz is 19-5 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card of UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane and eight preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN2/ESPN+ and four on ESPN+/ UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Aldo and Munhoz and UFC predictions.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane takes place at Toyota Center in Houston, Texas on Saturday, August 7 with five fights on the main pay-per-view card and eight preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN2/ESPN+ and four on ESPN+/ UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane Betting
Jose Aldo (29-7, 11-6 UFC)
Aldo came into the UFC with a record of 18-1 and he has 11 wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Jeremy Stephens by TKO, Renato Moicano by TKO, and Marlon Vera by unanimous decision; while losing to Alexander Volkanovski by unanimous decision, Marlon Moraes by split decision, and Petr Yan by TKO. Aldo has been a pro since 2004 and he has 17 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has 12 first round finishes.
Pedro Munhoz (19-5, 9-5 UFC)
Munhoz came into the UFC with a record of 10-0 and he has nine wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Brett Johns by unanimous decision, Bryan Caraway by TKO, Cody Garbrandt by TKO, and Jimmie Rivera by unanimous decision; while losing to Aljamain Sterling by unanimous decision and Frankie Edgar by split decision. Munhoz has been a pro since 2009 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Munhoz said this to bloodyelbow.com about his upcoming fight against Aldo, “It’s going to be an honor to share the Octagon with Aldo, and I really admire his style. I’ve always watched his fights and I know how much he has done for his community. He’s always been a reference for me in the sport. I’m very grateful to fight him. We both have similar fighting styles. We both walk forward, so I think it’s going to be a very entertaining, explosive fight. It sure will be a fight with high levels of technique. Everyone knows what they can expect from me and always aggressive and looking for the finish. That matches well with Aldo’s style.”
Munhoz also said this to fanside.com about his upcoming fight against Aldo, We were very excited. I like his style a lot and I think it’s very similar [to mine]. We both came from jiu-jitsu, but we like to display the fights mostly standing up. I got excited to fight a legend. I am very excited. Fighting another Brazillian guy, you know he’s popular in Brazil. So it’s a fight that’s definitely, a lot of people will be watching. I think it’s going to be good recognition [for me to] be able to display my style, my aggressiveness. Jose Aldo is the guy that likes to stand and fight in the pocket, kind of like the same style that I like to do. We both counter punches, knowing [to look] for the leg kicks. It’s going to be incredible.”
Strikes landed per minute: Aldo 3.45 / Munhoz 5.60
Striking Accuracy: Aldo 45% / Munhoz 43%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Aldo 3.52 / Munhoz 5.87
Defense: Aldo 61% / Munhoz 58%
Takedown average: Aldo 0.57 / Munhoz 0.68
Takedown Accuracy: Aldo 56% / Munhoz 21%
Takedowns defended: Aldo 91% / Munhoz 80%
Submission average: Aldo 0.1 / Munhoz 0.8
This should be an exciting matchup between two fighters that have a lot of stand-up skill. The odds on the fight are near a pick and this is a tough one to call. If this fight was scheduled for five rounds, I would definitely lean to Munhoz, as Aldo seems to fade in longer fights, but this is just a three-round fight. I think the best option is to play the rounds. I can’t see either of these two getting a finish. I know Munhoz has predicted a knockout, but Munhoz only has five knockout wins. I’ll take the rounds to go over the total.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane Card & Odds
Heavyweight - Derrick Lewis +264 vs. Ciryl Gane -355
Bantamweight - Pedro Munhoz -110 vs. Jose Aldo -120
Bantamweight - Casey Kenney -120 vs. Yadong Song -110
Welterweight - Michael Chiesa -110 vs. Vicente Luque -120
Bantamweight - Vince Morales -110 vs. Drako Rodriguez -120
Bantamweight - Jamey Simmons +120 vs. Johnny Munoz Jr. -270
Women's Flyweight - Victoria Leonardo -115 vs. Melissa Gatto -115
Women's Strawweight - Tecia Torres -137 vs. Angela Hill +107
Light Heavyweight - Ed Herman +194 vs. Alonzo Menifield -250
Women's Flyweight - Karolina Kowalkiewicz -128 vs. Jessica Penne -102
Flyweight - Ode Osbourne +158 vs. Manel Kape -200
Lightweight - Bobby Green +235 vs. Rafael Fiziev -310
Bantamweight - Anderson dos Santos +168 vs. Miles Johns -215
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