Alexa Grasso is slightly favored against Maycee Barber at UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns on Saturday, February 13 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Barber is 8-1 in her career, while Grasso is 12-3 in her career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card on UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns, with the headliner a bout between Kamaru Usman and Gilbert Burns. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card with five on ESPN/ESPN+ and three on UFC Fight Pass. Let's look at the bout between Barber and Grasso and UFC picks.
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Maycee Barber (8-1, 3-1 UFC)
Barber came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and she has three wins and one loss in the UFC. She defeated Hannah Cifers by TKO, JJ Aldrich by TKO, and Gillian Robertson by TKO; while losing to Roxanne Modafferi by unanimous decision. Barber has been a pro since 2017 and she has five wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. She has three first round finishes.
Barber said this to mymmanews.com about her upcoming fight against Grasso, "She is breakable. She is one of those fighters, you know, who can break. She has shown that, and I'm one of those good fighters that will break someone. She is tough, though. She's gritty and she's tough, but that doesn't mean that she's not breakable. I guess I've never seen a path in my mind when I visualize the fight (where I don't break her). I see myself breaking her. Whether that's striking, whether that's ground game, whether that's wrestling, I'm ready to break her."
Alexa Grasso (12-3, 4-3 UFC)
Grasso came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and she has four wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Heather Jo Clark by unanimous decision, Randa Markos by split decision, Karolina Kowalkiewicz by unanimous decision, and Ji Yeon Kim by unanimous decision; while losing to Felice Herrig by unanimous decision, Tatiana Suarez by rear-naked choke submission, and Carla Esparza by majority decision. Grasso has been a pro since 2012 and she has four wins by TKO/KO. She has four first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Barber 6.02/ Grasso 5.35
Striking Accuracy: Barber 60% / Grasso 42%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Barber 3.15/ Grasso 3.76
Defense: Barber 49% / Grasso 63%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Barber 0.95/ Grasso 0.32
Takedown Accuracy: Barber 30% / Grasso 40%
Takedowns defended: Barber 80% / Grasso 63%
Submission average: Barber 0.3/ Grasso 0.5
UFC Picks
Barber has just one loss in her career and that loss was due to an injury. Barber is now back at full strength and I expect her to look really good in this fight and dominate Grasso. I am surprised that Barber is listed as the underdog, as I think she is the better fighter. It is rare that I take an underdog in UFC betting, but I really like Barber in this fight.
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns Card & Odds
Welterweight - Gilbert Burns +225 vs. Kamaru Usman -279
Middleweight - Ian Heinisch +181 vs. Kelvin Gastelum -220
Women's Flyweight - Maycee Barber +113 vs. Alexa Grasso -137
Welterweight - Gabriel Green -134 vs. Philip Rowe +110
Middleweight - Maki Pitolo +138 vs. Julian Marquez -166
Women's Strawweight - Polyana Viana +128 vs. Mallory Martin -154
Middleweight - Anthony Hernandez +329 vs. Rodolfo Vieira -429
Women's Flyweight - Miranda Maverick -139 vs. Gillian Robertson +115
Lightweight - Jim Miller +213 vs. Bobby Green -264
Featherweight - Brian Kelleher +207 vs. Ricky Simon -255
Welterweight - Dhiego Lima +322 vs. Belal Muhammad -419
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