Montana De La Rosa is favored against Nadia Kassem at UFC 234 on Sunday, February 10 in Australia, but note the fight will start on Saturday night Eastern Time in the United States. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. La Rosa is 9-4 in her career, while Kassem is 5-0 in her career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 234, with the headliner a bout between Robert Whittaker and Kelvin Gastelum. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN and three on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between De La Rosa and Kassem and UFC predictions.
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Montana De La Rosa (9-4, 2-0 UFC)
De La Rosa came into the UFC with a record of 7-4 and she has two wins and no losses in the UFC. She defeated Christina Marks by submission and Rachael Ostovich by submission. De La Rosa’s last loss in her career was against Cynthia Calvillo by TKO in January of 2017. She has been a pro since 2014 and has seven wins by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Nadia Kassem (5-0, 1-0 UFC)
Kassem came into the UFC with a record of 4-0 and she has one win and no losses in the UFC. She defeated Alex Chambers by unanimous decision on November 19, 2017. Kassem has been a pro since 2015 and has four wins by TKO/KO. She has four first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: De La Rosa 3.79 / Kassem 3.47
Accuracy: De La Rosa 37% / Kassem 49%
Strikes absorbed per minute: De La Rosa 3.06/ Kassem 3.00
Defense: De La Rosa 55% / Kassem 35%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: De La Rosa 0.00/ Kassem 0.00
Accuracy: De La Rosa 0% / Kassem 0%
Takedowns defended: De La Rosa 0% / Kassem 42%
Submission average: De La Rosa 1.8 / Kassem 6.0
UFC Predictions
De La Rosa is a -265 favorite which may be too high. She has fought twice in the UFC while Kassem has fought once. Neither of them has a lot of experience and neither has really fought any great competition. Kassem could be a live underdog in this spot. De La Rosa has not fought since July of last year while Kassem hasn’t fought since November of 2017. The only concern I would have with Kassem is whether or not she is ready to return and fight like she used to before her injury. I don’t back a lot of underdogs in MMA betting, but Kassem is definitely worth a strong look, as we get her at more than a 2-1 dog in a fight that I see as very even. I will take the underdog price and go with Kassem to get the win and also take the rounds to go over the total.
UFC 234 takes place at Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne, Australia on Sunday, February 10 but will start in the United States on Saturday night, with five fights on the main pay-per-view card, headlined by Robert Whittaker vs. Kelvin Gastelum and seven preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN and three on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Middleweight - Robert Whittaker -250 vs. Kelvin Gastelum
Middleweight - Israel Adesanya -742 vs. Anderson Silva
Bantamweight - Ricky Simon -125 vs. Rani Yahya
Womens Flyweight - Montana De La Rosa -265 vs. Nadia Kassem
Light Heavyweight - Jim Crute -140 vs. Sam Alvey
Preliminary Card (ESPN)
Lightweight - Devonte Smith -245 vs. Dong Hyun Ma
Featherweight - Shane Young -320 vs. Austin Arnett
Flyweight - Kai Kara-France -305 vs. Raulian Paiva
Bantamweight - Kyung Ho Kang -455 vs. Teruto Ishihara
Early Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Lightweight - Lando Vannata -375 vs. Marcos Rosa
Lightweight - Jalin Turner -265 vs. Callan Potter
Bantamweight - Jonathan Martinez -180 vs. Wuliji Buren
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