Zabit Magomedsharipov is a huge favorite over Brandon Davis in one of five main event bouts at UFC 228 on Saturday in Dallas, Texas. It was supposed to be Yair Rodriguez taking on Magomedsharipov in this bout, but Rodriguez was replaced due to injury. Davis is 9-4 in his career, while Magomedsharipov is 15-1 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 228, with the headliner a bout between Tyron Woodley and Darren Till. There are also a total of nine fights on the preliminary card with four on FX and five on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Davis and Magomedsharipov and UFC predictions.
UFC 228 Betting at BookMaker.eu
Brandon Davis (9-4, 1-2 UFC)
Davis came into the UFC with a record of 8-2 and he has one win and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Steven Peterson by unanimous decision while losing to Kyle Bochniak by unanimous decision and Enrique Barzola by unanimous decision. Davis has been a pro since 2014 and has three wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has won eight of his last ten fights and has three first round finishes. His two wins by submission were one by guillotine choke and one by undisclosed choke.
Zabit Magomedsharipov (15-1, 3-0 UFC)
Magomedsharipov came into the UFC with a record of 12-1 and he is undefeated in the UFC at 3-0. He defeated Mike Santiago by submission, Sheymon Moraes by submission, and Kyle Bochniak by unanimous decision. His only loss in his career was against Igor Egorov by submission and that was back in April of 2013. Magomedsharipov has been a pro since 2012 and has six wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He is on an eleven-fight winning streak and has three first round finishes. Of his six wins by submission, two of them were by guillotine, two by RNC, one by triangle, and one by anaconda.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Davis 4.53 / Magomedsharipov 5.25
Accuracy: Davis 50% / Magomedsharipov 33%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Davis 2.19/ Magomedsharipov 4.37
Defense: Davis 67% / Magomedsharipov 66%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Davis 6.56 / Magomedsharipov 0.25
Accuracy: Davis 58% / Magomedsharipov 33%
Takedowns defended: Davis 77% / Magomedsharipov 65%
Submission average: Davis 1.2 / Magomedsharipov 0.0
UFC Predictions
The price on this fight is simply too high to make a play, but there is no question that Magomedsharipov should win. Davis has fought three times in the UFC and has not had much success, but it is really hard to lay this type of number on any fighter. The more reasonable option is to play the rounds. Neither of these two fighters has been that great in terms of early finishes, as they have combined for just six first round finishes. Perhaps Davis can make this more competitive than people believe and the way to do that is to grab and hold and try just to survive. That should lead to less action and there is a chance that the fight could go longer than people expect. I will take the rounds to go over the total.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Welterweight – Tyron Woodley -115 vs. Darren Till
Women’s Flyweight – Valentina Shevchenko -1400 vs. Nicco Montaño
Featherweight – Zabit Magomedsharipov -1100 vs. Brandon Davis
Women’s Strawweight – Jessica Andrade -425 vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Welterweight – Abdul Razak Alhassan -149 vs. Niko Price
Preliminary Card (FX)
Women’s Strawweight – Tatiana Suarez -550 vs. Carla Esparza
Bantamweight – Aljamain Sterling -133 vs. Cody Stamann
Bantamweight – Jimmie Rivera -150 vs. John Dodson
Middleweight – Charles Byrd -225 vs. Darren Stewart
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Welterweight – Craig White -230 vs. Diego Sanchez
Lightweight – Alex White -145 vs. Jim Miller
Women’s Bantamweight – Irene Aldana -120 vs. Lucie Pudilová
Flyweight – Jarred Brooks -335 vs. Roberto Sanchez
Welterweight – Geoff Neal -180 vs. Frank Camacho
UFC 228 Odds at BookMaker.eu
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