UFC 227 Predictions - Thiago Santos vs. Kevin Holland


Thiago Santos is a big favorite over Kevin Holland at UFC 227 on Saturday in Los Angeles, California. This event is one of five on the main pay-per-view card. Santos is 17-6 in his career, while Holland is 12-3 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 227, with the headliner a bout between T.J. Dillashaw and Cody Garbrandt. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on FX and three on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Santos and Holland and UFC predictions.

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Thiago Santos (17-6, 9-5 UFC)
Santos came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has nine wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last five fights in the UFC, he has four wins and one loss. He defeated Jack Marshman by TKO, Gerald Meerschaert by TKO, Jack Hermansson by TKO, and Anthony Smith by TKO; while losing to David Branch by KO. Santos has been a pro since 2010 and has 12 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has a total of eight first round finishes.

Kevin Holland (12-3, UFC debut)
Holland is making his UFC debut in this fight. In his career he has 12 wins and three losses and in his last five fights he has four wins and one loss. He defeated Grady Hurley by TKO, Hayward Charles by TKO, Teagan Dooley by submission, and Will Santiago Jr. by unanimous decision; while losing to Curtis Millender by unanimous decision. The other two losses in his career were against Ramil Mustapaev by unanimous decision and Rafael Lovato Jr. by submission. Holland has been a pro since 2015 and has six wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has seven first round finishes.

Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Santos 4.59 / Holland 5.53
Accuracy: Santos 48% / Holland 43%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Santos 2.02/ Holland 1.47
Defense: Santos 66% / Holland 60%

Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Santos 0.41 / Holland 0.00
Accuracy: Santos 25% / Holland 0%
Takedowns defended: Santos 71% / Holland 50%
Submission average: Santos 0.0 / Holland 0.0

UFC Predictions
Oddmakers have Santos listed as a -375 favorite against Holland who is making his UFC debut. We don’t have a lot to go on with Holland, as he really hasn’t faced any top competition, but we know Santos is a very good UFC fighter. It is hard to lay almost 4-1 in any fight, but Santos looks to have the clear edge in this fight. If you prefer not to lay the big money, and I usually don’t like to lay more than 3-1, the rounds are worth a look. Both Santos and Holland are known as finishers, as they have combined for 15 first round finishes in their careers. I think there is a good chance this fight ends early, so I will take this fight to go under the rounds total.

UFC 227 takes place on Saturday, August 4, 2018, at Staples Center in Los Angeles, California, with a men’s bantamweight match between T.J. Dillashaw and Cody Garbrandt as the event headliner. There are five fights on the main pay-per-view card and seven preliminary bouts, with three on FX and four on UFC Fight Pass.

Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Bantamweight – T. J. Dillashaw -118 vs. Cody Garbrandt
Flyweight – Demetrious Johnson -515 vs. Henry Cejudo
Middleweight – Thiago Santos -375 vs. Kevin Holland
Women’s Strawweight – Polyana Viana -260 vs. JJ Aldrich
Featherweight - Renato Moicano -410 vs. Cub Swanson

Preliminary Card (FX)
Bantamweight – Pedro Munhoz -270 vs. Brett Johns
Bantamweight – Ricky Simon -125 vs. Montel Jackson
Featherweight – Matt Sayles -115 vs. Sheymon Moraes
MMA Betting Bonus Early Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Flyweight – Alex Perez -150 vs. Jose Torres
Bantamweight – Ricardo Ramos – 220 vs. Kyung Ho Kang
Women’s Strawweight - Zhang Weili -250 vs. Danielle Taylor
Bantamweight – Marlon Vera -465 vs. Wuliji Buren

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