With the Super Bowl in town on the final day of the Waste Management Phoenix Open it seems like a good time to sharpen those sports wagering skills. There’s a cross-sport prop bet somewhere out there. With this being the first ‘designated event’ on the PGA Tour the field for the annual party at TPC Scottsdale is stacked with Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy sitting atop the odds board. In all 22 of the top 25 golfers in the OWGR are scheduled to peg it up for the increased purse of $20 million. Scottie Scheffler’s Player of the Year season started with his first career Tour win here last year taking down Patrick Cantlay in a playoff starting a run of four titles in six starts. Those two are among eight players with odds of 20/1 or shorter on the PGA betting board. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win Waste Management Phoenix Open
Jon Rahm +885
Rory McIlroy +905
Scottie Scheffler +1400
Xander Schauffele +1400
Collin Morikawa +1800
Tony Finau +1800
Justin Thomas +2001
Patrick Cantlay +2001
Max Homa +2502
Sungjae Im +2502
Cameron Young +2803
Hideki Matsuyama +3003
Tom Kim +3003
Viktor Hovland +3003
Jordan Spieth +3503
Matthew Fitzpatrick +3503
Sahith Theegala +4500
Sam Burns +4703
Jason Day +6000
Tyrrell Hatton +6000
Rickie Fowler +6500
Shane Lowry +6500
Taylor Montgomery +6500
Alex Noren +6500
Tommy Fleetwood +7000
Keegan Bradley +7000
Si Woo Kim +7000
Corey Conners +7000
Keith Mitchell +7500
Russell Henley +7500
Lucas Herbert +7500
Odds Analysis
Jason Day +6000
There are a number of great players in the field and the likelihood of someone further down the odds board winning is remote. But the great thing about sports is that favorites don’t always win. Scheffler was around 30/1 when he won last year, before he became the player we currently know him as. There is some value going down the list with Day one player on a nice run of form. He hasn’t done much here in his few starts, but he should feel confident after a T7 in his most recent start at the FIO. He’s finished no worse than T21 in his last seven official starts making him a worthwhile pick for a hefty payday.
Tony Finau +1800
Even though he’s among the top-5 on the odds board Finau isn’t getting much respect. Most of the headlines are reserved for McIlroy, Rahm and Scheffler, which is fine with Finau since all he wants to do is play golf. And he’s been doing that quite well this season, thank you. He won the Houston Open in November after a MC, which is part of a run that included three top-10s in his last four starts. Finau lost a playoff to Webb Simpson in 2020, his only made cut in his last six WMPO starts.
Matthew Fitzpatrick +3503
After a stellar last season that saw Fitzpatrick win the US Open among his 10 top-10s, it’s been a slow start to the new campaign. Not by poor play rather through inactivity. Off the Holiday break he was T7 at Kapalua in his just his second Tour start. A month later he missed the cut at Pebble Beach. I’m banking on Fitz having knocked the rust off last week and now being ready to go, which he showed he’s more than capable of last season.
Max Homa +2502
With a pair of wins already this season Homa is working his way toward elite status on Tour. All five starts this season have resulted in top-25s with wins in Napa and La Quinta highlighting his start. Couple his solid form this season with a decent history at TPC Scottsdale and Homa has some value. He earned a top-10 here three years ago and was among the top-15 last year. Though the field is arguably the strongest its ever been, Homa is playing his best golf.
Tom Kim +3003
The hype has subsided a bit but the play of Kim keeps going strong. He rebounded from a MC at the Sony Open to finish T6 last month at the American Express. He makes his debut in this tournament but it seems to me like a good fit. He finished among the top-10 in half his six starts and isn’t fazed by the surroundings. A strong field and rowdy environment should be to his liking.
Course: TPC Scottsdale – 7,261 yards, Par 71
The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale has hosted the event since 1987 and it is one of the most popular stops on Tour. The course plays just under 7,300 yards and with altitude in the desert it typically scores well. We’ve seen winning numbers consistently between 14- and 18-under with a few outliers. Phil Mickelson carded a course record 28-under in 2013. The conditions are ripe for heavy hitters and we’ll see plenty of drivers this week, allowing players to attack the greens with little resistance. Early tee times are at a disadvantage given the moisture on the course. When the track dries out players can attack the fairways getting lengthy rolls. The par-3 16th is the signature hole on the layout with rowdy fans in the gallery to cheer on, or heckle, golfers.
TV Coverage: CBS, Golf Channel
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