PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win Wells Fargo Championship

Wells Fargo Championship

It’s back to individual stroke play this week when the PGA Tour heads to Charlotte for the Wells Fargo Championship. And hopefully that includes better weather after rain delayed last week’s Zurich Classic. Many expected to see Tiger Woods in the field at Quail Hollow since it is a few weeks after his Masters victory, and players typically don’t like to take more than two or three weeks off at any one time. There is no Tiger, but the field isn’t lacking with two-time WFC champ Rory McIlroy the betting favorite at at +550. Defending champion Jason Day is high up the list as the second favorite with Rickie Fowler at +1050.

Odds to Win Wells Fargo Championship at

Rory McIlroy +550

Rickie Fowler +1050

Jason Day +1050

Justin Rose +1150

Tony Finau +1850

Hideki Matsuyama +1987

Webb Simpson +2052

Phil Mickelson +2608

Paul Casey +2929

Gary Woodland +3054

Sergio Garcia +3782

Jason Kokrak +4150

Henrik Stenson +4550

Lucas Glover +5000

Aaron Wise +5555

Patrick Reed +6050

Byeong Hun An +6665

Charles Howell III +6675

Sungjae Im +7000

Keegan Bradley +7500

Keith Mitchell +9000

Luke List +9500

Jhonattan Vegas +9500

Daniel Berger +9550

Sam Burns +9800

Zach Johnson +9850

Kevin Streelman +9885

Joel Dahmen +10000

Rory Sabbatini +10000

J.B. Holmes +10500

Chez Reavie +11000

Sung Kang +11500

Kyle Stanley +11500

Roberto Castro +11500

Nick Watney +11500

Michael Thompson +11750

Trey Mullinax +11750

Adam Hadwin +12000

Joaquin Niemann +12000

J.T. Poston +12000

Chesson Hadley +12050

Russell Henley +12500

Pat Perez +12500

Jimmy Walker +12500

Dylan Frittelli +13500

Wyndham Clark +13500

Kyoung-Hoon Lee +13500

Cameron Champ +13500

Matt Jones +14500

Peter Uihlein +15000

Field - Any Other Player Not Listed Above +250

Odds Analysis

Rory McIlroy +550

The odds are long, but it’s hard to argue against McIlroy given his recent play and success at Quail Hollow. He captured the title in 2010 and again in 2015 to become the only two-time winner. His six top-10s also make him the all-time money winner in this event. And this tournament comes at a good time for him following his T21 at the Masters. “I like tree-lined golf courses. I like that it gives you definition, I like that it frames holes for you. I love that,” McIlroy said. And the layout loves him too.

Phil Mickelson +2608

Winning at Quail Hollow is on Lefty’s to-do list, and the course is ripe for him this week. Mickelson will bomb away with no consequences, which should put him in a good spot. He is 15 for 15 at the WFC and his only missed cut at Quail Hollow occurred in the 2017 PGA Championship. His eight top-5 finishes place him second on the money list, but he’s running out of opportunities for that elusive victory. Some added incentive and a good price make Lefty a keen pick to win.

Chesson Hadley +12050

I typically don’t go this far down the odds board, especially with such a strong field. But Hadley is an intriguing player this week for a number of reasons. He’s a North Carolina native and he’s enjoyed some success on this course. However, recent form is the reason for his long odds. He and partner Brice Garnett missed the cut last week, which isn’t horrible since a number of quality players exited early. He hasn’t played the weekend in his last three starts and hasn’t finished in the top-50 since a T17 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March. He does have three consecutive top-20s here and some home cookin’ can do wonders.

Lucas Glover +5000

I’m a bit surprised to see Glover with such long odds considering his course form. He hasn’t missed this event since 2004, and there’s a good reason. He claimed victory in 2011 and was runner-up in 2009 along with three other top-10s. Recent form is solid as well. Glover has 10 top-20s in 13 starts this season, making him worthy of a wager with a huge payout on the other end.

Course: Quail Hollow Club – 7,554 yards, Par 71

Stretched out to 7,554 yards, the track was difficult enough when it played at par 72, now it’s at par 71 after a redesign a few years ago. Distance is required off the tee in order to contend, so we can expect a lot of drivers. Players don’t have to be overly concerned when teeing it up with forgiving fairways and rough that’s not as long or thick as other venues. Making up plenty of distance on this layout are eight par 4s that are longer than 450 yards, and there are hazards the field has to contend with, too. Water is in play on six holes and bunkers guard the green on nearly every approach. And it could be tough to make up ground on the final three holes, known as the Green Mile. The par 4-3-4 finish combined to average nearly one full stroke over par at last year’s event.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS

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