There is plenty on the line when the PGA Tour’s third major of the season takes over the California Coast this week for the 119th playing of the U.S. Open at Pebble Beach Golf Links. There is the major championship, for one, along with a hefty payday for the winner. And the field is stacked with 156 of the top players in the world set to peg it up. Two-time defending champion Brooks Koepka goes for his fifth win in the last seven majors, and he’s not even the betting favorite. That distinction belongs to 2016 winner Dustin Johnson, who’s currently at +704 at BookMaker.eu. Rory McIlroy and Tiger Woods round out the top four favorites.
Odds to Win U.S. Open at BookMaker.eu
Dustin Johnson +704
Brooks Koepka +745
Rory McIlroy +785
Tiger Woods +1285
Jordan Spieth +1821
Patrick Cantlay +2015
Justin Rose +2058
Rickie Fowler +2258
Justin Thomas +2511
Jon Rahm +2562
Jason Day +2562
Tommy Fleetwood +3070
Xander Schauffele +3070
Hideki Matsuyama +3275
Adam Scott +3275
Phil Mickelson +4050
Francesco Molinari +4250
Tony Finau +4550
Webb Simpson +4550
Matt Kuchar +5250
Paul Casey +5250
Brandt Snedeker +5250
Bryson DeChambeau +6050
Shane Lowry +6550
Marc Leishman +6550
Patrick Reed +7250
Henrik Stenson +7500
Louis Oosthuizen +9500
Graeme McDowell +10250
Gary Woodland +10250
Sergio Garcia +11500
Jimmy Walker +12550
Emiliano Grillo +12550
Si Woo Kim +12550
Jim Furyk +12550
Ian Poulter +12550
Martin Kaymer +12550
Matt Wallace +15250
Kevin Na +15250
Kevin Kisner +15250
Bubba Watson +15250
Branden Grace +15250
Lucas Glover +15250
Tyrrell Hatton +15250
Alex Noren +15250
Rafa Cabrera Bello +15250
Luke List +15250
Billy Horschel +17000
Daniel Berger +17250
Keegan Bradley +17250
Matthew Fitzpatrick +18550
Cameron Smith +18550
Aaron Wise +18550
C.T. Pan +18550
Keith Mitchell +18550
Thomas Pieters +18550
Danny Willett +20250
Erik Van Rooyen +20250
Haotong Li +20250
Thorbjorn Olesen +20250
Byeong-Hun An +20250
Charles Howell III +20250
Lucas Bjerregaard +20250
Jason Dufner +22550
Zach Johnson +22550
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +22550
Rory Sabbatini +25250
Odds Analysis
Brooks Koepka +745
We might as well just call him Major for the way he ups his game in the biggest tournaments. Only one player has ever won three straight U.S. Open titles, which is one drawback against Koepka, but winning four of the last six majors is a rare feat, so don’t count him out. He had a tune up at the Canadian Open last week as he typically does before majors and the strategy has paid off. He toppled the field last month at the PGA Championship and placed T2 at The Masters giving him a nice run in the first two major tournaments.
Tiger Woods +1285
Returning to the scene of one of the greatest performances ever, Woods looks to rekindle the magic at Pebble Beach. Back in 2000 he took a six-shot lead into the weekend and ended up winning by a whopping 15 swings. He also won the Pro-Am that year giving him the clean sweep at PB. Following his Masters victory, Woods didn’t play competitively before the PGA Championship. He changed his routine and posted a top-10 at the Memorial a few weeks back, so he should be geared for another run.
Phil Mickelson +4050
Recent form has stunk, but Mickelson said in February he loves the grass at Pebble Beach and he went on to win the Pro-Am at one of his best layouts. There is a little more riding on this tournament for Lefty as well. This might be his best chance at securing the career Grand Slam. He has finished outside the top-25 in six of his last seven U.S. Open starts. He was T4 in the 2010 Open here at Pebble Beach.
Henrik Stenson +7500
We have to look further down the odds board and Stenson is one player that stands out. He hasn’t done anything spectacular this year, but he remains one of the most accurate drivers on Tour with a strong approach game, and given the makeup of the layout, those will be important statistics. He is a former British Open champ so he knows the big stage, and Pebble Beach is ripe for his game.
Tony Finau +4550
Distance off the block isn’t a key ingredient this week, but Finau is one of the best at getting length with his driver. He’s also has a sound short game and avoids three-putts more than most. He’s been close a number of times and finished fifth at Shinnecock Hills last year after a strong third round. One of these days Finau is going to put it all together to claim that elusive first major championship.
Course: Pebble Beach Golf Links – 7,075 yards, Par 71
Hosting the U.S. Open for the sixth time and first since 2010, Pebble Beach is still quite familiar with the Tour since the Pro-Am is held here every year. This is a different layout, however, one that will play longer and much tougher. It’s still relatively short by Tour standards so distance off the tee isn’t a requirement. However, accuracy will be a big factor. The rough is thick and staying out of it is crucial. The greens are small targets making approach and GIR a key stat. The course is much different now than it was in February with smaller fairways and thicker rough.
TV Coverage: FOX, FS1
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