PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win The Masters

PGA Tour Picks

The best week in golf is upon us as the PGA Tour prepares for its first Major of the season at The Masters. The field of 87 includes many of the best in the world as they vie for the coveted green jacket. Rory McIlroy is the best player in the world right now with his win at The Players Championship a big reason why he’s the betting favorite with odds of +750 at Also, expect Tiger Woods to get plenty of attention as he goes for a fifth title at Augusta National. Only three times in the history of the tournament, and not since 1979 has a player won in his first trip to ANGC and there are 17 first-timers in this year’s field.

Odds to Win The Masters at

Rory McIlroy +750

Dustin Johnson +825

Justin Rose +1075

Rickie Fowler +1626

Tiger Woods +1751

Justin Thomas +1901

Jon Rahm +1951

Jordan Spieth +2103

Jason Day +2203

Francesco Molinari +2654

Hideki Matsuyama +2805

Brooks Koepka +3055

Paul Casey +3206

Tommy Fleetwood +3256

Phil Mickelson +3407

Bubba Watson +3874

Adam Scott +4000

Bryson Dechambeau +4472

Tony Finau +4574

Louis Oosthuizen +4750

Matt Kuchar +5156

Marc Leishman +5525

Xander Schauffele +5709

Ian Poulter +6550

Patrick Reed +7000

Sergio Garcia +7000

Patrick Cantlay +8000

Gary Woodland +8000

Webb Simpson +8000

Kevin Kisner +8425

Henrik Stenson +9050

Charley Hoffman +9850

Brandt Snedeker +10,250

Cameron Smith +11,000

Charles Howell III +11,000

Matthew Fitzpatrick +12,000

Branden Grace +12,000

Si Woo Kim +12,500

Rafa Cabrera Bello +12,500

Keegan Bradley +13,000

Matt Wallace +15,000

Tyrrell Hatton +15,000

Billy Horschel +15,000

J.B. Holmes +15,000

Charl Schwartzel +17,500

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +17,500

HaoTong Li +18,000

Eddie Pepperell +18,500

Emiliano Grillo +18,500

Kevin Na +20,000

Jimmy Walker +20,000

Thorbjorn Olesen +22,500

Keith Mitchell +22,500

Shane Lowry +25,000

Zach Johnson +25,000

Angel Cabrera +25,000

Alex Noren +27,000

Lucas Bjerregaard +28,500

Danny Willett +30,000

Aaron Wise +35,000

Stewart Cink +35,000

Martin Kaymer +40,000

Fred Couples +40,000

Kyle Stanley +40,000

Justin Harding +40,000

Kevin Tway +40,000

Bernhard Langer +50,000

Vijay Singh +50,000

Trevor Immelman +50,000

Andrew Landry +50,000

Odds Analysis

Rory McIlroy +750

He lost to Tiger in the round of 16 at the WGC Match Play, but that hiccup aside McIlroy has been the hottest golfer on Tour. He hasn’t finished outside the top-10 all year and he’s gone T6 or better in his six stroke play events. Winning THE PLAYERS marked him as the man to beat this week and his ball-striking has been off the charts. He’s come close at Augusta in the past with five straight top-10s and slipping on the green jacket would give him the career grand slam. He should have plenty more opportunities if he doesn’t get it this week, but he may never be playing as well as he is right now.

Tiger Woods +1751

He’s healthy and he’s won here four times in the past, so you can’t overlook what the big cat has accomplished. But, he hasn’t won here in 14 years and it’s been nearly a decade since he seriously contended for a title. The track at Augusta this year is the longest it’s ever been and we’ve witnessed a decline in Tiger’s yardage off the tee. Given his history at The Masters, I can’t count him out, but I see better value in some other players.

Francesco Molinari +2654

Another player riding a streak of nice form at the right time, Molinari should contend and he has a nice payout to boot. He took third at the WGC Match Play in his last start, losing only to eventual champion Kevin Kisner. Molinari also shot a 64 at Bay Hill to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational. A T20 last year set the stage for an impressive last 12 months that saw him climb to No. 7 in the world rankings.

Jordan Spieth +2103

His play over the last year says there’s no way Spieth wins this event. But a look at his course form makes you say, ‘wait a minute.’ No one has played Augusta better than Spieth over the last few years, and it’s hard to ignore his 12 sub-par rounds with five of them at 66 or better. He was fitted for the green jacket in 2015 and has three other podium finishes and a T11 in his five career Masters starts. Does a trip to Augusta give his game a jolt, or does he remain the guy with no top-10s since the 2018 British Open?

Course: Augusta National Golf Course – 7,475 yards, Par 72

Don’t let the beauty of the layout fool you, Augusta National is a terror. And just to throw another wrinkle on the field, the par-4 fifth hole was reworked with a new tee box adding an additional 40 yards where it now plays close to 500 yards. The par-5s provide some relief and they’ve been among the easiest on Tour when it comes to the percentage of eagles scored. They aren’t easy, but they are reachable in two for the big hitters and they must be taken advantage of to be in contention. Patrick Reed did just that last year, avoiding bogeys while leading the field in par-5 scoring at 13-under with a pair of eagles. A good number of players will make it to the weekend with the low 50 plus ties, and all players within 10 shots of the lead pegging it up on Saturday.

TV Coverage: ESPN, CBS

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