PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win Charles Schwab Challenge

PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win Charles Schwab Challenge

After watching Brooks Koepka successfully defend his title at the PGA Championship last week, the Tour takes a break from all the hoopla of a major tournament. That doesn’t mean the stakes aren’t as high for the 122 players scheduled to peg it up at the invitation-only Charles Schwab Challenge, which gets underway Thursday from Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. Justin Rose returns to defend his title and is the betting favorite along with Jon Rahm, in a strong field of players with a number of them competing just last week.

Odds to Win Charles Schwab Challenge at

Justin Rose +950

Jon Rahm +950

Jordan Spieth +1250

Xander Schauffele +1300

Rickie Fowler +1350

Francesco Molinari +1850

Paul Casey +2775

Bryson Dechambeau +3050

Tony Finau +3300

Louis Oosthuizen +3555

Kevin Kisner +3985

Ian Poulter +4475

Jason Kokrak +5050

Scott Piercy +5050

Emiliano Grillo +5065

Matthew Fitzpatrick +5575

Brandt Snedeker +6555

Rory Sabbatini +7000

Billy Horschel +7050

Abraham Ancer +7250

Zach Johnson +7500

Chez Reavie +7525

Joel Dahmen +7555

Kevin Na +8000

Tyrrell Hatton +8050

Si Woo Kim +8500

Sungjae Im +8555

Byeong Hun An +8850

Ryan Palmer +9000

Daniel Berger +9000

Russell Knox +9050

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +9050

Graeme McDowell +9050

Danny Lee +9500

Jhonattan Vegas +9500

Charley Hoffman +9575

Corey Conners +9850

Pat Perez +10000

Jim Furyk +10000

Kevin Tway +10000

Branden Grace +10500

Max Homa +10500

Sam Burns +10500

Talor Gooch +11500

Jason Dufner +11550

Brian Harman +12500

Kyoung-Hoon Lee +12500

Aaron Baddeley +13500

Nick Taylor +13500

Michael Thompson +13500

Field - Any Other Player +250

Odds Analysis

Justin Rose +950

Rose had so much fun at Colonial last year he decided to return in an effort to defend his title. He played here to meet Tour requirements and ended up with a three-shot win over Koepka firing 66 or lower in all four rounds. Recent form has been inconsistent, but his ball-striking was a thing of beauty here last year and Rose remains one of the best. He won the Farmers Insurance Open in January and has two other top-10s since then. He’s also placed outside the top-50 three times with a MC, so it might be too much to expect him to repeat.

Jordan Spieth +1250

The stars are getting aligned for Spieth to claim his first win since 2017. A solid effort at Bethpage Black enabled him to tie for third. That came after an 11-under performance the week prior at the Byron Nelson where Spieth proclaimed he “was” in a slump. The game has come together the last two starts and he returns to a layout that yielded him a victory in 2016 with a pair of runner-up finishes in between.

Emiliano Grillo +5065

An interesting selection with a nice payout, that’s why he’s on my radar. Grillo improved his results at Colonial in each of his past three starts from a T55 in 2016 to T24 two years ago and solo third in 2018. “I love this course. My past results don’t show that, but I was expecting a week like this, to be honest,” Grillo said after last year’s showing. His putting was the best among the field last year and anything similar should have him ready to pounce at the top of the leaderboard.

Abraham Ancer +7250

This is a longshot pick but you have to take a chance on the underdog every now and then to get the gargantuan payday. A resident of San Antonio, Ancer has familiarity with Texas golf and he’s coming off a top-20 at the PGA Championship, so he should at least be a confident player. Ancer is one of the top players off the tee but he doesn’t do it with distance, which will set him up for success on the approach. His metrics in strokes gained categories could allow him to take down Colonial.

Course: Colonial Country Club – 7,209 yards, Par 70

Colonial is the longest running host layout of any non-major event, so there is plenty of history to extract. At just over 7,200 yards, the course has always played at par 70 and is average in terms of length compared to other Tour tracks. Scoring hasn’t been a problem over the years with the field averaging 69.83 per round last year while rewarding consistent ball-striking. Every course has a signature hole or holes, and Colonial is no different. Known as the Horrible Horseshoe, holes 3, 4 and 5 can influence players. The par-4 fifth has been the most difficult in every playing since 2005 with No. 3 and No. 4 close behind.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS

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