The FedExCup Playoffs continue this week with the top-70 golfers in the point standings making their way to Caves Valley Golf Club in Baltimore for the BMW Championship. Tony Finau capped the playoff opener fittingly with a playoff win at the rain-delayed Northern Trust to end a long drought. It was both a sense of relief and accomplishment for him. Already guaranteed a spot in this week’s field, Finau tracked down Jon Rahm with a spectacular back-nine. Six players went from outside to inside the top-70 in the standings with their performance and will compete this week. However, the field is looking up once again at Rahm, who hit the board as the betting favorite for a second straight tournament. There is no cut this week so every player has four rounds to make a statement ahead of the season-ending Tour Championship. BookMaker.eu has a complete updated list of betting odds when you’re ready to make a wager.
Odds to Win BMW Championship
Jon Rahm +550
Justin Thomas +1600
Xander Schauffele +1600
Collin Morikawa +1800
Dustin Johnson +1800
Brooks Koepka +1800
Jordan Spieth +2000
Tony Finau +2000
Bryson Dechambeau +2200
Cameron Smith +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Rory McIlroy +2500
Louis Oosthuizen +2500
Daniel Berger +3000
Scottie Scheffler +3000
Viktor Hovland +3000
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Webb Simpson +3000
Abraham Ancer +4000
Paul Casey +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Harris English +4000
Shane Lowry +4000
Sam Burns +4000
Joaquin Niemann +5000
Sungjae Im +5000
Kevin Na +6500
Russell Henley +6500
Jason Kokrak +6500
Alex Noren +7500
Cameron Tringale +7500
Kyoung Hoon Lee +8000
Sergio Garcia +8000
Keegan Bradley +8000
Odds Analysis
Patrick Cantlay +2500
I was surprised Cantlay was offered at this price since he’s been playing really well since winning the Memorial in June. He has the best scrambling numbers on Tour and he’s among the best in strokes gained: tee to green, two areas that will be key this week. A T11 last week was his fourth top-15 in his last six starts and he was in contention at this tournament last year posting a T12. It was at a different venue, but Caves Valley shouldn’t be problem for him to navigate.
Tony Finau +2000
Have the flood gates opened for Finau? He’s been consistently at the top of leaderboards for the last few years and he finally got the monkey off his back with his win in The Northern Trust. Finau was on fire ranking first or second in a number of stat categories. It was a bit surprising that it actually took a 73rd hole for him to emerge victorious. It’s hard to win on Tour, just ask Finau about that, and it’s harder to go back-to-back. With such a strong field of players I’m fading him in the outright but he should be considered in alternate markets.
Sungjae Im +5000
There are higher priced players out there but I’m sticking with a strong scorer who’s coming off a nice showing at Liberty National. Im overcame an opening 71 to go 11-under over the last three rounds in the Northern Trust to finish T16. He was nine shots off the pace so in the end it probably didn’t matter, but getting boost of confidence over those days should help Im heading into this week.
Dustin Johnson +1800
There is one positive from Johnson missing the cut last week: he didn’t have to stick around an extra day to finish off his round. Also good news is that there is no cut so there is time to make up shots if he falls off the pace. The MC was his second in three starts, but the last five tournaments he completed all resulted in a top-25. I was hoping the price would be a little higher, but we are talking about one of the finest players in the world and the defending FedExCup champ.
Jordan Spieth +2000
For a guy who’s been so consistent since the start of the year Spieth was the definition of inconsistent at Liberty National. There was that blistering second-round 62 and a closing 79 that left him well off the pace. So why go back to him? Well, the consistency thing for one. And also, Spieth is one player we know with a history on this course. According to Spieth he’s played Caves Valley upwards of 10 times, though he didn’t mention how he did. Still, some knowledge of the layout is an advantage that I can’t overlook.
Course: Caves Valley Golf Club – 7,542 yards, Par 72
The PGA Tour heads to Baltimore for the first time since the 1960s with Caves Valley serving as host. Opened in 1991, the course recently underwent a significant upgrade adding length, now measuring at over 7,500 yards, new bunkers and additional rough. The new tall grass should come into play but the fairways are still forgiving with big hitters seemingly having an edge. We have no course form to go off since this is the first PGA Tour event at this joint. The greens are relatively small making approach play another part of the game to keep an eye on. While the PGA Tour makes its debut, Caves Valley has hosted big time golf in the past with Champions Tour and LPGA events.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, NBC
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