The swing through the Sunshine State continues this week when the PGA Tour heads to Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The event attracts a strong field with a number of golfers attacking the Bay Hill Club and Lodge to pay tribute to the tournament’s namesake. Rory McIlroy opened as the betting favorite for a second straight year and is followed closely on the odds board by a trio of players, including defending champion Tyrrell Hatton, who became the fifth international player in five years to win the event. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational at BookMaker.eu
Rory McIlroy +800
Bryson Dechambeau +1200
Viktor Hovland +1200
Tyrell Hatton +1200
Patrick Reed +1800
Sungjae Im +1986
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2000
Paul Casey +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Francesco Molinari +2500
Jordan Spieth +2500
Louis Oosthuizen +3300
Billy Horschel +3300
Jason Day +3300
Sam Burns +3949
Will Zalatoris +3950
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Jason Kokrak +4000
Marc Leishman +4500
Harris English +5000
Kevin Na +5000
Max Homa +5000
Justin Rose +6500
Cameron Davis +7500
Kevin Kisner +7500
Rickie Fowler +7500
Cameron Tringale +7500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +8000
Talor Gooch +8000
Si Woo Kim +8000
Lanto Griffin +8000
Branden Grace +8000
Corey Conners +8500
Brendon Todd +8500
Wyndham Clark +10000
Charley Hoffman +10000
Shane Lowry +10000
Odds Analysis
Viktor Hovland +1200
He’s been so good over the last few months that I nearly balked at backing Hovland. After all it’s nearly impossible to keep up his frenetic pace that includes a win, a pair of T2s, T3, T5 and T6 in his last seven worldwide starts. But when you glance at his game now you can’t help but think he’s going to be successful on this layout; at least more successful than the previous two years when he finished outside the top 35. His price is steep but among the favorites I like Hovland’s chances based on his ball striking and recent form.
Marc Leishman +4500
I’m always looking for value with my picks and Leishman has plenty at his current price. He’s enjoyed a lot of success at Bay Hill with a win in 2017 and a solo second last year among three top-10s in his last four visits. Toss in a T3 from 2011 and Leishman is second on the all-time API money list. He hasn’t been bad coming in either with a T4 at the Sony Open and an additional top-20 at the Farmers in his last four starts.
Francesco Molinari +2500
We haven’t seen a lot of Molinari this season which is probably why his price is where it is. He’s another player that has successfully navigated Bay Hill and is looking to make up for last year when an injury derailed his title defense. Along with his 2019 win, Molinari has three other top-10s and is 7 for 7. A T8 at the Genesis was his second and third top-10 in his last four starts.
Kevin Na +5000
Hatton was around a 50/1 longshot last year and Na opened in that range. There certainly is value in this pick as long as Na hits instead of misses at Bay Hill. He has two top-5s, including a runner-up in 2010, among his five top-15s on this course, but he’s also missed the cut twice in his last four starts. Na won in Hawai’i and was T11 at last week’s WGC so recent form is strong suggesting a solid showing.
Louis Oosthuizen +3300
Backing Oosthuizen is purely a current form over course form pick. He hasn’t broken par in his last five rounds at Bay Hill, but he’s conquered much tougher courses over his career. He made a run at the WGC last week finishing T6 and was 14-under for a T11 in Phoenix before that. If he gives himself a chance with the putter he could be in contention on Sunday.
Course: Bay Hill Club and Lodge – 7,454 yards, Par 72
Arnold Palmer loved the property so much he purchased the course in 1975. He negotiated with the PGA Tour to bring an official tournament to Orlando in 1979 and the Arnold Palmer Invitational has been played ever since. The layout has undergone a few renovations in the years since to increase its appeal to amateurs and the public while remaining a challenge for the Tour pros who visit every year. The strategy has proven successful. It’s a stock par 72 that plays long. Wide fairways are a bonus, but the par 4s need to be played conservatively making this a second-shot course. Scoring can be made up on the par 5s. Though the track is straightforward it yields closer to par scores on average. And it’s Florida so expect water to be a factor and there’s always a chance wind plays a role like it did at last year when only four players finished with a sub-par score.
TV Coverage: NBC, Golf Channel
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