After another strong showing by the LIV Golf contingent at a major championship, the League resumes play just outside our nation’s capital in Virginia this week for LIV Golf D.C.. With a win at the PGA Championship, Brooks Koepka emerged as the betting favorite in the outright market while also seeking to become the first three-time LIV winner. Bryson DeChambeau has elevated his game recently with a T4 at Oak Hill following his best finish of the LIV season in Tulsa. As one of the longest hitters around, he could have an edge in a tournament matchup on the beefy Trump National Golf Club track. Cameron Smith (T9) was the third LIV golfer to place among the top 10 last week. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete updated list of matchup betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
LIV Golf D.C. Matchup Odds
Brooks Koepka -105 vs. Cameron Smith -125
Dustin Johnson -137 vs. Patrick Reed +107
Mito Pereira -121 vs. Joaquin Niemann -109
Talor Gooch -119 vs. Charles Howell III -111
Bryson Dechambeau -132 vs. Harold Varner III +102
Jason Kokrak -122 vs. Peter Uihlein -108
Sergio Garcia -125 vs. Thomas Pieters -105
Anirban Lahiri +100 vs. Dean Burmester -130
Abraham Ancer -119 vs. Sebastian Munoz -111
Matthew Wolff +119 vs. Brendan Steele -149
Louis Oosthuizen -134 vs. Carlos Ortiz +104
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra -116 vs. Marc Leishman -114
Bubba Watson -140 vs. Henrik Stenson +110
Phil Mickelson +100 vs. Pat Perez -130
Kevin Na -130 vs. Danny Lee +100
Richard Bland -115 vs. Scott Vincent -115
Charl Schwartzel -102 vs. Bernd Wiesberger -128
Lee Westwood +131 vs. Ian Poulter -165
Martin Kaymer +116 vs. Graeme McDowell -146
Cameron Tringale -106 vs. Branden Grace -124
Need to Know
With a links-style feel to it, Trump National will be a different look for those who competed the previous week. And for some that makes three straight weeks of playing golf, something the players probably aren’t used to in the short life of LIV. Trump National was overhauled and reopened in 2016 with the Championship Course designed specifically for big time golf events. According to the club’s website the course measures 7,693 yards, though LIV says it will play just under 7,500 yards. Either way it’s long but fairly straightforward with few obstacles. A massive amount of trees were removed during the renovation and the fairways are open and generous. Koepka referred to the joint as a “bombers paradise” giving big hitters an advantage this week. With the Potomac River in view, water is a theme and comes into play on nearly half the holes serving as the main defense. The 2017 Senior PGA Championship played here with Bernhard Langer carding a winning score of 18-under.
LIV Golf D.C. Matchup Picks
Henrik Stenson +110 vs. Bubba Watson
Watson is rounding into form after time off due to a knee injury and he should be at the top of the leaderboard soon. However, I’m backing Stenson in this matchup for a number of reasons. First, he isn’t coming off knee surgery. And second, he triumphed last year on Trump’s Bedminster course with the former president’s collection having a number of similarities. Also, I like Stenson’s price. At plus odds he might have the most value of any player in this market.
Matthew Wolff +119 vs. Brendan Steele
There is some value backing Wolff at his price, but I was tentative to do so after three straight LIV finishes outside the top 30. Trump National is a better fit for his game with the distance and generosity allowing him to let it fly. As one of the longer hitters in the League that should give him an edge. His rally up the leaderboard at Bedminster last year was also a deciding factor, and Wolff showed flashes of being a top player before his slump. He didn’t suddenly become a bad golfer.
Sergio Garcia -125 vs. Thomas Pieters
Added motivation is always a bonus and I think Garcia got that by failing to qualify for the PGA Championship. It was the first time in years the Spaniard was ineligible to play in a major. So, he went and got his name etched on the U.S. Open roster and will look to fine tune his game ahead of the next major. There isn’t a lot to do since recent form is solid, including a playoff loss to Talor Gooch in Singapore a few weeks ago.
Cameron Smith -125 vs. Brooks Koepka
I don’t always like backing big favorites in matchups but I’m doing it twice this week with Garcia and Smith priced the same. This isn’t so much about Smith as it is Koepka, though. Brooks’ win at Oak Hill set off a string of celebratory events for the five-time major champ leaving me to wonder just how focused he’s going to be. Meanwhile, Smith has been dialed in playing fantastic golf over the last few months. He closed last week with a 65 to grab a shore of ninth, his fourth straight top 10 overall.
Phil Mickelson +100 vs. Pat Perez
Lefty continues to fight the good fight, though results have been mixed. There’s uneasiness with Mickelson when it comes to the PGA Tour and with the major in the rearview he can get back to playing golf. He’s had spurts of great play like his showing at Augusta last month, and he had his best LIV finishes recently. No doubt backing him is a big risk, but Mickelson has sprung the unexpected on us before.
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