Italian Open Golf Odds - European Tour Betting

Italian Open Golf Odds

A new venue awaits the European Tour field this week as golfers prepare for the Italian Open at Chervo Golf Club in Brescia. The tournament lost some of its luster being pulled from the Rolex Series rotation thusly we see a drop in the talent level. Still, we have a moderately strong field headlined by betting favorite Matt Wallace, two-time major champion Martin Kaymer and defending champion Bernd Wiesberger. Renato Paratore, Guido Migliozzi and Lorenzo Gagli are among a strong contingent of Italians looking to capture their country’s national open. The odds board is top heavy, however, that doesn’t mean we see a winner from that group. And playing a course few have seen opens up the possibilities. Visit for a complete list of betting odds and to place your wager.

Odds to Win Italian Open at

Matt Wallace +1000

Martin Kaymer +1100

Victor Perez +1200

Bernd Wiesberger +1400

Lee Westwood +1600

Jordan Smith +2500

Matthias Schwab +2500

Renato Paratore +2500

Wilco Nienaber +2500

Adri Arnaus +2500

Adrian Otaegui +2800

Matthew Jordan +3300

Joost Luiten +3500

Connor Syme +3500

Joachim B Hansen +4000

Antoine Rozner +4500

Jorge Campillo +4500

David Horsey +5000

Thorbjorn Olesen +5000

Johannes Veerman +5000

Chris Paisley +5500

Marcus Armitage +5500

Marc Warren +5500

Guido Migliozzi +6000

Jamie Donaldson +6000

Scott Jamieson +6000

Wil Besseling +6600

Jason Scrivener +6600

Laurie Canter +6600

Adrien Saddier +7500

Maverick Antcliff +8000

Steven Brown +8000

Dean Burmester +8000

Richard Bland +8000

Rikard Karlberg +8000

Adrian Meronk +8000

Nicolas Colsaerts +8000

Jack Senior +9000

Odds Analysis

Bernd Wiesberger +1400

I backed Wiesberger at this tournament last year and he paid off with a 1-shot victory. His form ahead of the 2019 edition was much better than what we’ve seen recently and that win came on a different course, so there is risk particularly at his price. He hasn’t been bad playing the weekend in his last eight events, which makes him a target on an alternate market as well. This is a layout that should play to his strengths of accuracy and putting, and I’m fine with throwing down on him for the outright win in a weaker field than what he toppled last year.

Joachim B Hansen +4000

A strong showing at Wentworth a few weeks has Hansen trending upward. He played in the final group forging a T7 after stumbling a bit on the close. He’s been solid in four of his last five starts and he played well despite missing the cut at the Scottish Open. I’ll throw that result out the window. Snagging a top-20 at Valderrama is a sign that he can play the tough courses and his tee-to-green form lodged him inside the top-10 three times. Improved work with the flat stick has him eyeing that maiden Tour victory.

Adri Arnaus +2500

Another consistently good player looking for a breakthrough, Arnaus has all the talent to be a winner and this layout offers a great opportunity. He can smack the ball off the tee and with few distractions he should have plenty of birdie chances. Arnaus has started to regain the form that put him on the fast track last year with three runner-up showings. He’s giving himself a chance now he needs to pull it all together. He won twice in Italy on the Alps Tour and a return should benefit him.

Chris Paisley +5500

That T4 last week at the Scottish Championship came out of nowhere after Paisley missed the cut in his previous four starts. One thing to remember about him is that he’s streaky, and when he gets on a roll it can last a few weeks. Right before the lockdown Paisley went T7-T3 in three starts with another top-20 out of the break. I’ll back him at his current price knowing that the Chervo track is one that he can successfully navigate.

Laurie Canter +6600

Another big hitter who can attack the par-5s on the Chervo layout leading to scoring opportunities, I was a bit surprised to see Canter priced this high. His last start was a MC at the Scottish Open that may have had something to do with it. Form leading up to that was strong with three top-5s among five top-20s in eight starts. He bounced back from a MC with a T5 at the Celtic Classic showing the resolve of a competitor.

Course: Chervo Golf Club – 7,434 yards, par 72

First played in 1925 and part of the European Tour rotation since its inception in 1972, the Italian Open has played a number of courses over the years. Situated next to Lake Garda, Chervo Golf Club plays host to the country’s national open for the first time. At 7,434 yards it’s a long course which gives value to big hitters. And being a resort course there are few obstacles getting in the way. There is little to go on in terms of course data since this is the first Tour event at Chervo. However, other than the length, the flat, exposed layout looks relatively easy. The four par 5s are reachable, though two of them are surrounded by water. All in all it looks like a course that can yield plenty of birdie opportunities.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel

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