European Tour Picks – Odds to Win Mutuactivos Open de Espana

European Tour Picks – Odds to Win Mutuactivos Open de Espana

The European Tour heads to the capital of Spain for the country’s national open this week. Some high-profile players will take the week off to prepare for next week’s Rolex Series event in Italy, which affects the field. However, locals Jon Rahm, Sergio Garcia and Rafa Cabrera Bello are all set to tee off at the Mutuactivos Open de Espana in Madrid. A Spaniard has claimed victory twice in the last four playings of this event with Rahm the defending champ and betting favorite at top offshore sportsbooks. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds and to place your wager.

Odds to Win Mutuactivos Open de Espana at BookMaker.eu

Jon Rahm +300

Sergio Garcia +610

Rafa Cabrera-Bello +1000

Haotong Li +1400

Andrea Pavan +1600

Adri Arnaus +3000

Ross Fisher +4000

Pablo Larrazabal +5000

Jorge Campillo +5000

Mikko Korhonen +5000

Alexander Bjork +5000

Callum Shinkwin +5000

Alexander Levy +5500

Calum Hill +6000

Julian Suri +6000

Justin Harding +6000

Jeff Winther +7000

Rikard Karlberg +7000

Sean Crocker +7000

Wade Ormsby +8000

Renato Paratore +8000

Jamie Donaldson +8000

Jeunghun Wang +8000

Dean Burmester +8000

Lee Slattery +8000

Nacho Elvira +9000

Edoardo Molinari +9000

Fabrizio Zanotti +9000

Joachim B. Hansen +9000

James Morrison +9000

Miguel Angel Jimenez +9000

Zander Lombard +9000

Sihwan Kim +10000

Romain Wattel +10000

Jason Scrivener +10000

David Lipsky +10000

Hugo Leon +10000

Nicolai Hojgaard +10000

Niklas Lemke +10000

Nino Bertasio +10000

Oliver Wilson +10000

Ashun Wu +10000

David Horsey +10000

Andres Romero +10000

Alvaro Quiros +10000

Odds Analysis

Jon Rahm +300

Even with such short odds it’s hard not to like Rahm for this one. He handles the pressure of playing on home soil well and tore up Centro Nacional de Golf last April with a scintillating 20-under for his third Euro Tour win. A return to Spain in June resulted in a runner-up finish at Valderrama. He may have been looking ahead to his national open, which would explain his missed cut in Scotland last week and I wouldn’t read too much into it. He thrives on home soil.

Sergio Garcia +610

Countrymen have had plenty of success in the Open de Espana and another player who thrives in front of the home fans is Garcia. He also has some history on this track, albeit old. Garcia had a tumultuous season on the PGA Tour but he kicked things up a notch back in Europe. His victory at the KLM Open came after a T7 at Valderrama and T23 at the European Masters. Again, there are short odds for one of the favorites, but Sergio is a likely contender for the title.

Andrea Pavan +1600

Moving further down the odds board brings us to Pavan, who captured the trophy at the BMW International Open in June and has reeled of five more top-25s since then. He grabbed a share of 10th last week to continue his recent surge and the track in Madrid suits his game, making him a top pick as long he’s not looking ahead to the Italian Open

Adri Arnaus +3000

There is a lot of upside and a good payout if Arnaus can tame the track. Another Spaniard looking to make good on home soil, he’s impressed already this season with a pair of runner-up finishes, the first of those coming at Valderrama. There has been some inconsistency with his game recently and this is his first start on the course, but like I said there is plenty to like about his game and playing in front of home crowd will be a boost.

Callum Shinkwin +5000
After plodding along through the summer and not doing much of anything, Shinkwin suddenly found his game. If he can continue on his heater he offers a nice payout at his price. The resurgence started at the KLM Open with a solo fifth that probably should have been better if not for a final round 74. He grabbed a share of 10th at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship with an outstanding approach game that had him over 80 percent of GIR in both events.

Course: Club de Campo Villa de Madrid - 7,112-yards, par-71

The field gets a new yet old course for this year’s edition. Club de Campo Villa de Madrid last hosted the Spanish Open in 1996 and more recently played host to the Madrid Masters in 2008. The course is in great shape and will play a little longer for those who were around a decade ago. The additional yardage spans just a few holes and shouldn’t affect the field. Summertime weather requires plenty of water and the fairways and greens are a little soft. The field will deal with a tree-lined layout with several greens hidden. However, there isn’t much rough and players can and will be aggressive off the tee. Overall the length is manageable and there aren’t many hazards to deal with scoring likely to be low.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel

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