Italy’s capital will play host to the country’s national open this week when the European Tour heads to Rome for the Italian Open. A strong field will assemble at the Olgiata Golf Club for the fifth of eight Rolex Series events. And with the Tour season winding down Ryder Cup qualification points and Race to Dubai rankings points are up for grabs. Paul Casey is making his tournament debut, but that hasn’t stopped oddsmakers at offshore sportsbooks from making him the betting favorite. Francesco Molinari has won his home open twice previously and will be a threat in a packed field. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds and to place your wager.
Odds to Win Italian Open at BookMaker.eu
Paul Casey +975
Francesco Molinari +1050
Justin Rose +1150
Shane Lowry +1550
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2050
Matt Wallace +2250
Danny Willett +2600
Erik Van Rooyen +2650
Andrea Pavan +2850
Tyrrell Hatton +3050
Alex Noren +3550
Thomas Pieters +3850
Bernd Wiesberger +3850
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4450
Ian Poulter +4450
Mike Lorenzo-Vera +5050
Adri Arnaus +5250
Matthias Schwab +5250
Haotong Li +5850
Robert MacIntyre +6050
Joost Luiten +6350
Mikko Korhonen +6850
Justin Harding +6850
Guido Migliozzi +7350
Jordan Smith +7450
Eddie Pepperell +7550
Andrew Johnston +8250
Lee Westwood +8550
Tom Lewis +8750
Rory Sabbatini +8850
Joakim Lagergren +9050
Martin Kaymer +9050
Paul Waring +9050
Ross Fisher +9050
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +9050
Thomas Detry +9250
Marcus Kinhult +9550
Victor Perez +9550
Matthew Southgate +9850
Edoardo Molinari+10550
Alexander Levy +10550
Julian Suri +10550
Sam Horsfield +10550
Gavin Green +10550
Victor Dubuisson +10550
Richie Ramsay +10550
Kurt Kitayama +10550
Odds Analysis
Francesco Molinari +1050
Winning your national open is quite a thrill, just ask Jon Rahm. And Molinari isn’t tired of the feeling having tasted victory at this event twice previously. And he’s been a beast in his homeland. He won the Italian Open in 2006 and 2016 and he’s placed sixth and runner-up the last two years to give him 12 top-20s in the last 14 tournaments. He just got greased up for a run to the title with a T14 at Wentworth followed by a T23 at the Safeway Open.
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2050
If Fitz wants a challenge he’ll get one on this course. And he has some familiarity with the layout that many in the field don’t, so that has to give him an edge. Can he take advantage of that and produce a victory? I like his odds. He showed some spunk overcoming a slow start to grab a T7 in a Challenge Tour event here a few years back. His strong mid-iron play will serve him well on those demanding par-4s where he can make up strokes or lengthen a lead. Either way, I’ll buy him at his current price.
Matt Wallace +2250
Establishing himself as a world-class golfer in Italy what’s not to like about this guy? Wallace digs playing in this part of the world having won three Alps Tour events along with a fourth place showing in his only Challenge Tour event played in Italy. He’s had a strong season and continues to play well with a third at the KLM Open. He looks like a good fit for Olgiata with a reliable approach game.
Andrea Pavan +2850
We gave both Molinari’s a nod for playing their national open. Another homie to consider is Pavan, who just keeps popping up on our radar. His form is splendid with a T16 or better in five of his last six starts and he’s coming off a T12 at the Open de Espana with three rounds of 67 or better. We won’t mention that R2 75 that put him out of the running. And this is like playing in his backyard having learned the game at Olgiata. That has to be worth something.
Bernd Wiesberger +3850
He hasn’t put three solid rounds together since winning the Scottish Open back in July and taking last week off will be what gets Wiesberger back in sorts. He hasn’t been bad since that victory snagging a T5 at the European Open and a top-20 at the BMW PGA Championship last month, but he’s played a lot of golf over the summer and the down time will be beneficial. He’s fallen down the odds board and that’s why I like him.
Course: Olgiata Golf Club – 7,523-yards, par-71
Located 15 miles north of Rome, Olgiata is a magnificent tree-lined, parkland venue. It hasn’t hosted a European Tour event since 2002, so it is new to most, but not to all. Francesco Molinari’s brother Edoardo won here a decade ago while competing on the challenge Tour. He’s included in the field with odds of +10550. The layout has changed considerably in the 17 years since the last Italian Open took place here. A massive remodel took place a few years ago when Italy made a bid to host the 2020 Olympics. It didn’t get the games but it did get a modernized course. The easiest way to do that was to add length. The track now plays at over 7,500 yards at par 71. There are several demanding par-4s which will keep the scores lower than what we’ve seen at past events here.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel
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