The LSU Tigers play the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday in the SEC Championship Game on CBS. This could have been a huge matchup for LSU but they couldn’t beat Texas A&M last week and now the Tigers are out of contention to make the College Football Playoff. The Bulldogs are ranked No. 1 in the country and they are heavily favored to win this game on Saturday. The Bulldogs are going to make the College Football Playoff whether they win this game or not, but there is no question Georgia wants to win the SEC title and head into the College Football Playoff unbeaten. After how LSU looked last week, the public is backing Georgia in a big way for this Saturday contest. Let’s look at SEC Championship Game picks.
On Saturday, December 3, 2022, the LSU Tigers play the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC Championship Game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, Kickoff time is set for 4 p.m. ET with television coverage on CBS.
SEC Championship Game Odds
LSU Tigers +17
Georgia Bulldogs -17
Total 51
Money Line: LSU +575, Georgia -824
Odds Analysis
The line on this game is moving toward Georgia and it is going higher than the current number of 17. There is no question that Georgia is going to be a 17.5 or 18-point favorite, if not more. The question is whether or not the wise guys will buy back the points on LSU before Saturday. The line seems to be moving higher because LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels has an ankle injury. Head coach Brian Kelly was optimistic that Daniels will be fine, but any type of injury to Daniels could limit his mobility and if Daniels can’t run at full strength, he has no chance to make plays against this Georgia defense. The total on this game has moved slightly higher, as the total opened at 50.5 and is up to 51.
LSU Tigers
The Tigers were looking to become the first two-loss team to play in the College Football Playoff but all of that talk is now gone after the loss to Texas A&M. The Tigers average 32.5 points per game and they put up 433.4 yards per contest. They are giving up 21.5 points per game and they are allowing 346.9 yards per game. Jayden Daniels leads the team in rushing with 824 yards and he has thrown for 2,566 yards. Malik Nahers is the leading receiver with 718 receiving yards.
Georgia Bulldogs
The Bulldogs do virtually everything well. Georgia is averaging 38.3 points per game which is 12th in the country. They are averaging 488.8 yards per game and that is 8th in the nation. They are giving up just 11.3 points per game and that is first in the country and they are allowing just 270.7 yards per contest which is 4th in the country. Kenny McIntosh leads the team with 654 rushing yards; Stetson Bennett has thrown for 3,146 yards, while Brock Bowers leads the team in receiving with 645 yards.
SEC Championship Game Free Pick
One of the only things that LSU has going for them is recent series history, as they have won four of the last five meetings against Georgia. The teams last met in 2019 when it was LSU winning by a score of 37-10 as a 7-point favorite. The last win for Georgia in this series came in 2013 when they won by a score of 44-41.
The question bettors have to answer in this game is the motivation for LSU. The Tigers were hoping to be playing for a spot in the College Football Playoff and now that chance is gone. Georgia has put a high priority on winning the SEC title and their goal was to go unbeaten this season. They also want to avenge the loss to LSU in 2019. The oddsmakers have made taking Georgia somewhat unattractive, as not many people want to lay big points in a title game. I usually look toward the underdog, but I can’t take an LSU team that might not be motivated and with a quarterback who may not be able to run at full strength. I’ll lay the points and take Georgia.
BookMaker Pick: Georgia -17
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